Braves vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 1, 2023

Braves at Nationals

8:05 pm • MASN

Atlanta Braves

6-2

7 - 1

Washington Nationals

3-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Gray			3.91	8-13
S.Strider			3.86	20-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 6-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Nationals 3-4	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

April 01, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

Under 8.5-110

S.Strider u17.5 Outs+105

Strider is extremely good, but tends to throw a high number of pitches per PA. He averaged 99 pitches in his 8 starts that went 6 innings last year, so it seems like it’ll be tough for him to get there with a fairly strict pitch count in his first start of the season.

J.Gray o4.5 Ks-135

Over 8.5-122

1.22u

S.Strider o6.5 Ks-118

0.42u

ATL -0.5 (F5)-160

$1.00

ATL -1.5-135

$2.00

S.Strider o6.5 Ks-130

0.77u

ATL o4.5-140

0.71u

ATL -265 (F5)

0.25u

Bet to -274

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The Nationals are just 78-45 (.634) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2021 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Braves were 47-18 (.723) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2022 -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Nationals were just 17-32 (.347) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2022 -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .293.

Austin Riley had an OPS of .878 last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Patrick Corbin allowed an OPS of .887 (713 PAs) last season -- sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- third Percentile.

Austin Riley slugged .770 on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Josiah Gray allowed a SLG of .790 on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 41% (227/553) against Spencer Strider in 2022 -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider struck out 44% (111/251) of right-handed batters he faced in 2022 -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 5-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Nationals' 1 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	5-2	0-1	5-1	N/A	5-2
Braves	6-2	4-2	2-0	5-2	1-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	5-2	1-0	4-2	N/A	5-2
Braves	1-7	0-6	1-1	1-6	0-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	3-4	0-1	3-3	N/A	3-4
Braves	6-2	4-2	2-0	5-2	1-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	ATL	L 2-7	-	-	-
Mar 28th	NYY	W 3-0	-	-	-
Mar 26th	@MIA	L 2-2	-	-	-
Mar 25th	HOU	L 1-6	-	-	-
Mar 24th	STL	L 1-7	-	-	-

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with hip
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with finger
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Strider, P	96	6	9	0
RN.Anderson, P	10	1	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	8	1	1	0
RK.Yates, P	11	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-5	1	1	1
2M.Olson, 1B	2-3	2	2	3
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4O.Albies, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
5M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	1
6T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	1	1
9O.Arcia, SS	3-4	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	87	5	4	5
LA.Banda, P	13	1	1	0
RT.Ward, P	40	2	2	2
RH. Harris, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Garcia, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Meneses, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4K.Ruiz, C	2-4	1	1	1
5C. Dickerson, LF	0-2	0	0	0
5I.Vargas, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Candelario, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7L.Thomas, RF	2-3	0	0	0
8C.Abrams, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9V.Robles, CF	1-2	0	0	0