Braves vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2022

Braves at Nationals

11:05 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

0-2

2 - 3

Washington Nationals

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5-127	o8.5-112	-215
Nationals 0-0	+1.5+110	u8.5-107	+180

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

September 28, 2022

Nationals ParkWashington

WSH +1.5+108

0.54u

ATL -1.5-127

1.27u

J. Gray u5.5 Ks-136

0.74u

Available at FanDuel. Gray is working in a sinker more recently in order to combat the batted-ball issues he has had. In this seven-start stretch, his strikeout rate is down to 17.6%, and he has exceeded 5 strikeouts just once. He is at home, and he gets a decent bump there, but he's also facing a powerful Braves offense. There are multiple paths to an under here. I have Gray projected for 4.43 strikeouts.

WSH +190

0.95u

Wynn. Bet to +170

WSH +170 (F5)

0.85u

MGM. Bet to +156

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The Braves are 107-81 (.569) on the road since the 2020 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .465.

Austin Riley has an OPS of .884 this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Josiah Gray has allowed an OPS of .826 (627 PAs) this season -- eighth worst among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Michael Harris is slugging .536 this season -- tied for seventh best among hitters with at least 229 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. Josiah Gray has allowed a SLG of .597 vs left-handed batters this season -- worst among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- first Percentile.

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (772/1,713) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jake Odorizzi since the start of last season is 385.0 feet -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 27th	ATL	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	ATL +180
Sep 26th	ATL	L 0-8	+1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL +210
Sep 25th	@MIA	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	WSH +150
Sep 24th	@MIA	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 6.5	MIA +180
Sep 23rd	@MIA	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7	MIA +123

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Odorizzi, P	68	3.2	0	1
RJ.Chavez, P	14	1.1	0	0
LD.Lee, P	15	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	18	1	0	0
LA.Minter, P	6	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Stephens, P	16	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-5	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-5	1	0	0
3M.Harris, CF	1-5	0	0	0
4A.Riley, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Olson, 1B	2-3	1	1	1
6T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	2-4	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9R.Grossman, DH	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Contreras, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9W.Contreras, DH	1-2	0	0	0
9G. Heredia, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9G. Heredia, DH	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	85	6	2	1
RH.Harvey, P	15	1	2	0
RC.Edwards, P	22	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	21	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Thomas, RF	0-4	1	0
2C.Abrams, SS	3-5	1	1
3J.Meneses, 1B	0-4	0	0
4L. Voit, DH	1-3	0	2
5L.Garcia, 2B	0-3	0	0
6I.Vargas, 3B	0-4	0	0
7A.Call, LF	1-4	1	0
8V.Robles, CF	0-3	0	0
9R.Adams, C	0-2	0	0
9C. Hernández, PH	0-0	0	0