Braves vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2024

Braves at Orioles

10:35 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

0-2

0 - 4

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Suarez			3.70	9-7
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5	-1.5+124	o7.5-103	-142
Orioles 0-2	u8.5	+1.5-148	u7.5-116	+120

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

June 11, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Over 7.5-105

M.Fried u5.5 Ks+125

2.5u

BAL +114

1.14u

BAL +110

1.1u

ATL -130

Featured Insight
Braves won 64% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- best in MLB. Orioles won just 38% of their games that were decided by one run or less last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles have won 63% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Braves have won just 38% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 17-68 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Cedric Mullins has an OPS of just .692 since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .585 (1,334 PAs) since the 2022 season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Cedric Mullins is batting just .167 on breaking pitches from LHP since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .184 (74-for-403) on Max Fried breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- 15th best among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP-- 88th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 83.7 MPH (159 batted balls) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 -- 100th Percentile.

Albert Suarez has an ERA of 1.83 (39.1 IP)this season -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 3.85 -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (121/197) against Max Fried this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 10th	@TB	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7	BAL -136
Jun 9th	@TB	W 9-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BAL -144
Jun 8th	@TB	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -135
Jun 7th	@TB	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -110
Jun 6th	@TOR	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR +110

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	87	5	3	4
RP.Johnson, P	10	1	1	0
LD.Lee, P	13	1	2	0
LR.Kerr, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	0	0	0
6A.Duvall, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Kelenic, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7T.d'Arnaud, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Martinez, LF	0-0	0	0	0
8S.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RA.Suarez, P	97	5.1	4
RJ.Webb, P	29	1.1	2
RY.Cano, P	6	0.1	1
LC.Perez, P	12	1	0
RD.Tate, P	21	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Westburg, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
4A.Santander, RF	1-3	1	0	0
4C.Mullins, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Hays, LF	3-4	1	0	1
6J.Mateo, SS	1-3	1	1	3
7R.Urias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.McCann, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Cowser, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Cowser, RF	0-3	0	0	0