Orioles vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - June 7, 2024

Orioles at Rays

10:50 pm • MASN2

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

6 - 3

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Civale			5.07	2-6
C.Irvin			4.86	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-2	-1.5	-1.5+145	o8.5-110	-110
Rays 0-0	u7.5	+1.5-175	u8.5-110	-110

Friday 10:50 p.m.

June 07, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

BAL -104 (Live)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

TB o4 Team Total-110

1.1u

Cole Irvin has a 4.49 xERA but has escaped negative regression (2.84 ERA) thus far. His hard-hit rate (40.1%) is the lowest of his career and he’s still being barreled 9.9% of the time. His xBA remains around the .280 mark, similar to last season (5.59 xERA). TB 5th in wRC+ against LHP at home this season and saw Irvin a week ago where they hit him hard (exit velo) but not the results as expected. Lot of deep fly outs.

BAL -105

Under 8.5-108

0.54u

Bet to -116

TB +100 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -119

TB +103

0.5u

Bet to -109

Featured Insight
The Orioles have scored in at least three different innings in 55% of their games this season -- third highest in MLB. Rays have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games this season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Rays have won 58% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Orioles have won just 37% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- worst in MLB.

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The Rays are 14-79 (.151) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

29% of Yandy Diaz strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 88th Percentile. 33% of Craig Kimbrel strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of .925 (108 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .638 -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (5/73) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 5th	@MIA	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	TB -130
Jun 4th	@MIA	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 7	TB -130
Jun 2nd	@BAL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9	TB +110
Jun 1st	@BAL	L 5-9	+1.5 L	O 8	BAL +140
May 31st	@BAL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8	BAL +124

Jeffrey Springs
P
Springs is out with elbow
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Irvin, P	85	5.2	6	2
RJ.Webb, P	17	1.1	0	0
RY.Cano, P	26	1	2	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-5	1	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	0-5	0	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-3	1	1	2
4R.O'Hearn, DH	1-4	1	0	0
5A.Santander, RF	2-3	1	1	1
6J.Westburg, 2B	2-4	1	1	2
7C.Cowser, LF	1-4	1	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	1-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	105	5	8	4
LR.Lovelady, P	9	1	1	0
RC.Devenski, P	31	2	2	2
RK.Kelly, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	2-4	0	0	0
2B.Rortvedt, C	0-0	0	0	0
3A.Rosario, DH	0-3	0	0	1
4I.Paredes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Siri, CF	2-3	2	1	1
6J.DeLuca, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Lowe, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Lowe, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7T.Walls, SS	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Caballero, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	0-2	0	0	0
9R.Palacios, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9R.Palacios, LF	0-2	0	0	0