Braves vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 9, 2023

Braves at Rays

5:40 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

8-8

4 - 10

Tampa Bay Rays

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8
B.Elder			3.81	12-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 8-8	+1.5-200	o8-115	+105
Rays 8-8	-1.5+158	u8-105	-125

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

July 09, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

ATL +115

J.Aranda o0.5 HR+750

0.6u

Found better # on FanDuel unfortunately too late and can’t cashout the +550 on DK damnit

J.Aranda o0.5 HR+550

1.4u

Over 8-120

TB -116

0.43u

B.Elder u4.5 Ks+100

0.5u

Z.Eflin o5.5 Ks+158

TB -110

0.5u

Bet to -114

Under 8.5-110

0.55u

Bet to -113

TB -122 (F5)

0.5u

Need -122 or better

Sunday's MLB Best Bets
Action Network Staff•
Jul 9, 2023 UTC

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The Braves are 56-24 (.700) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

50% of Ronald Acuna strikeouts are looking over the last 30 days -- fourth highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 44% of Zach Eflin strikeouts are looking over the last 30 days -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Yandy Diaz has a groundball rate of 64% over the last 30 days -- second highest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% against Bryce Elder over the last 30 days -- tied for fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (96/148) against Bryce Elder this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.1 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (105 balls in play) -- tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (167/299) against Bryce Elder this season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 8th	ATL	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 8	ATL +136
Jul 7th	ATL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -110
Jul 6th	PHI	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI -134
Jul 5th	PHI	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9	PHI -120
Jul 4th	PHI	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -145

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	69	3.1	0	7
RM.Tonkin, P	39	1.2	2	1
RJ.Jimenez, P	22	2	2	0
LK.Allard, P	18	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	3-4	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	1	1	1
6M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	1-4	1	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Eflin, P	77	5	5	2
RZ.Littell, P	36	2	1	2
RJ.Adam, P	13	1	1	0
RR.Stephenson, P	11	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, DH	3-5	2	1	4
2W. Franco, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3L.Raley, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	2-3	2	0	0
5J.Aranda, 1B	1-4	1	0	2
6I.Paredes, 3B	2-4	2	1	2
7T.Walls, 2B	1-1	2	0	1
8J.Siri, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	1-3	1	0	1