Brewers vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2025

Brewers at Marlins

11:10 pm • FDSFL

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Milwaukee Brewers

48-39

Miami Marlins

39-46

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Alcantara			6.98	4-8
Q.Priester			3.35	6-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 48-39	-1.5	-1.5+131	o8-102	-134
Marlins 39-46	u8.5	+1.5-158	u8-118	+114

Friday 11:10 p.m.

July 04, 2025

loanDepot parkMiami

82°Fahrenheit

41%Rain

8Wind

Under 4.5 (F5)-130

0.5u

Sandy Alcantara is coming off a disaster start and now has a 6.98 ERA, but his xERA is 4.91 and projections have him closer to 2.5 earned runs over 6 innings in this spot. It's scary to trust him as he's been boom or bust this season, but I have this F5 projected closer to 4. Quinn Priester on the other side has been fantastic this season, and his 3.35 ERA is supported by a 3.70 xERA. His strikeout rate is up to a career high 18.8% while he has a career-low HR/9 ratio (0.92), which makes me think this is more likely a breakout than a fluke. I'm going to back both starting pitchers for the first half of this game.

S.Alcantara u2.5 Earned Runs-105

1.05u

MIL -110

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MIL -126

1.26u

MIL -120

1.2u

MIA +105

MIL -115

1.15u

Sticky Edge Specials Overall: 236-118-0,67% (ROI:21%) Season:4-2-0,67% (ROI:21%)

Under 8.5-118

0.59u

Bet to 8 (-112)

Brewers vs. Marlins: How to Bet the F5
Action Network Staff•
Jul 4, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 27-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Marlins' 44 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	50-35	23-21	27-14	3-7	46-27
Brewers	46-41	21-23	25-18	20-22	25-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	42-43	18-26	24-17	5-5	36-37
Brewers	35-49-3	16-27-1	19-22-2	17-24-1	18-24-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	39-46	19-25	20-21	5-5	34-39
Brewers	48-39	27-17	21-22	27-15	20-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 3rd	MIN	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA -106
Jul 2nd	MIN	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN +101
Jul 1st	MIN	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +120
Jun 29th	@ARI	W 6-4	+1.5 W	O 9	MIA +155
Jun 28th	@ARI	W 8-7	+1.5 W	O 9	MIA +138

Brandon Woodruff
SP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Blake Perkins
CF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
RP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
SP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

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PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RQ.Priester, P		6-2	3.35	1.231	7.04

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1S.Frelick, RF	.296	.353	.402	6
2W.Contreras, C	.235	.351	.338	6
3C.Yelich, DH	.261	.339	.461	17
4J.Chourio, CF	.253	.287	.444	14
5B.Turang, 2B	.287	.360	.379	5
6I.Collins, LF	.263	.371	.413	5
7J.Bauers, 1B	.213	.333	.398	5
8C.Durbin, 3B	.251	.335	.360	4
9J.Ortiz, SS	.210	.269	.309	6

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RS.Alcantara, P		4-8	6.97	1.475	7.09

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1X.Edwards, 2B	.286	.360	.326	0
2J.Sanchez, RF	.253	.320	.412	7
3O.Lopez, SS	.253	.324	.379	8
4A.Ramirez, DH	.248	.296	.479	13
5K.Stowers, LF	.283	.357	.514	15
6E.Wagaman, 1B	.252	.288	.372	5
7C.Norby, 3B	.241	.290	.351	4
8D.Myers, CF	.297	.353	.411	4
9N.Fortes, C	.243	.288	.359	2