Brewers vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2023

Brewers at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Milwaukee Brewers

5-1

3 - 4

Philadelphia Phillies

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Nola			4.46	12-9
J. Teheran			4.39	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 5-1	N/A	N/A	N/A
Phillies 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

July 18, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)+115

0.5u

B.Harper o0.5 HR+350

0.25u

PHI o5.5+105

B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases-110

0.5u

PHI -1.5+100

0.5u

PHI -200

0.5u

J.Teheran o3.5 Ks-120

This is one of our highest MLB edges on our FTN Model at FTNBets.com!

PHI -1.5-110

MIL +175

0.5u

J.Teheran u3.5 Ks+105

1.05u

Under 9.5-115

0.5u

Need -115

MIL +185

0.5u

Bet to +170

MIL +180

0.5u

Nola (3.86 SIERA/3.73 xERA) has about a full run edge on Teheran (4.62/3.90) overall, but PHI only has a 10 pt wRC+ edge v RHP (101 - 90) & MIL has the far better defense (13 Runs Prevented). These are also the bullpens with the top estimators in MLB L30 days, MIL just a bit better

Under 9-102

See notes for MIL side

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The Phillies are 39-1 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Joey Wiemer has an OPS of just .376 with two strikes this season -- fifth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Aaron Nola has allowed an OPS of just .399 (271 PAs) with two strikes this season -- eighth best among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Christian Yelich is slugging just .307 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 29% of the time since last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 69% (737/1,067) against right-handed batters this season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 69% (20/29) against Aaron Nola with two-strikes -- highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Phillies' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	1-5	1-5	N/A	1-5	N/A
Brewers	5-1	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	4-1-1	4-1-1	N/A	4-1-1	N/A
Brewers	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A
Brewers	5-1	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 16th	SD	W 7-6	-	-	-
Jul 15th	SD	W 9-4	-	-	-
Jul 15th	SD	W 6-4	-	-	-
Jul 14th	SD	L 3-8	-	-	-
Jul 9th	@MIA	L 3-7	-	-	-

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Andrew Vaughn
1B
Vaughn is out with hand
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out
Steward Berroa
RF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

Zack Wheeler
SP
Wheeler is out with shoulder
Out
Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Teheran, P	80	4.2	3	4
RT.Megill, P	20	1	1	0
RA.Uribe, P	18	1.1	2	0
RJ. Mejía, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	0-4	0	1
2W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0
3W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0
4J.Winker, DH	0-4	0	0
4B.Perkins, PR	0-0	0	0
5O.Miller, 1B	0-4	0	0
6R. Tapia, RF	1-4	1	0
7A.Monasterio, 3B	2-3	2	1
8B.Turang, 2B	2-3	0	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	98	7.1	6	2
LG.Soto, P	5	0.2	0	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	1-5	1	1	1
1J.Rojas, CF	0-0	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-4	2	0	0
3N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0	1
4B.Harper, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Realmuto, C	1-3	1	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	2-4	0	0	1
7A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
7A.Bohm, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
8B.Marsh, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9D.Hall, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
9E.Sosa, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9E.Sosa, 3B	0-0	0	0	0