Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 1, 2024

Cardinals at Yankees

5:35 pm • YES
14 - 7
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Nestor Cortes logoN.CortesNew York Yankees logo3.779-10
Miles Mikolas logoM.MikolasSt. Louis Cardinals logo5.3510-11

Cardinals at Yankees Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals
0-0
+1.5+105
o9.5-112
+202
Yankees
8-6
-1.5-125
u9.5-108
-247
location pinSunday 5:35 p.m.
September 01, 2024
Yankee StadiumBronx
Cardinals vs. Yankees Expert Picks
CeeJ Picks
CeeJ Picks
112d ago
Last 30d: 47-32-0 (+26.7u)
M.Mikolas o15.5 Outs-125
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
112d ago
Last 30d: 298-275-6 (+1.6u)
Over 9.5-105
0.95u
.tsa over vs bad away starters with wind help Overall: 510-367-50,58% (ROI:12%) Season:28-26-1,52% (ROI:2%)
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
112d ago
Last 30d: 16-21-0 (+3.1u)
M.Winn o1.5 Total Bases+115
1.15u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
112d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
M.Winn o1.5 Total Bases+115
1.15u
J.Chisholm o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
0.87u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
112d ago
Last 30d: 97-74-4 (+21.5u)
NYY -1.5+104
1u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
112d ago
Last 30d: 48-42-5 (+0.5u)
J.Soto o0.5 HR+300
0.25u
Circa
A.Judge o0.5 HR+240
0.25u
Circa
Picks  Office
Picks Office
112d ago
Last 30d: 121-111-6 (+0.9u)
Over 9-120
0.83u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice With both starting pitchers having really struggled through the majority of this season, the over is very tantalizing. Miles Mikolas has been horrific on a consistent level this season, owning only a 16.8% strikeout rate and 16.2% whiff rate, with both being among the worst in the league. The inability to develop any sort of ground-ball generation, doing so only 42.2% of the time, exposes him to more risk than a pitcher who can suppress hard contact via grounders, especially in a hitter-friendly park like Yankee Stadium. Mikolas has a concerning 5.07 ERA against an xFIP of 4.04 over his final 55 innings, showing his struggles are not just bad luck. His two-strike miss rate is abysmal at 14% - ranking dead last for qualified starters- and a terrible 63.7% stranded rate adds salt to an already bad situation with runners in scoring position performance. All of those factors make it so that Mikolas is all set to give up runs in bunches to a Yankees lineup that has been lethal against right-handed pitching this season, posting a wRC+ of 143 since the All-Star break. On the other side, Nestor Cortes has not been sharp either, recording a 4.54 ERA with a WHIP of 1.21 over his last 39 2/3 innings. His 4.62 xFIP and 40% hard-hit rate in that time make him a decent tie to a Cardinals lineup that has been quite deep against left-handed pitching, posting a 111 wRC+ since the break. Only now, Cortés's results have been better at Yankee Stadium: his underlying metrics align with season-long struggles, and it's hard to have faith in his ability to keep this Cardinals offense down, especially sans Willson Contreras, who has an .882 OPS as a catcher against lefties this year. Given that both pitchers are in poor form, that both teams have strong offenses against the corresponding handedness of their opponent's starter and that Yankee Stadium is very hitter-friendly, 9 feels like far too low a total. Look for both offenses to take advantage of Mikolas and Cortes' vulnerabilities.
Billy Ward
Billy Ward
112d ago
Last 30d: 15-24-1 (-3.7u)
Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-115
1.15u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
112d ago
Last 30d: 89-78-2 (+22.6u)
STL +1.5-115
2.61u
MJC Locks
MJC Locks
112d ago
Last 30d: 25-32-0 (+7.7u)
A.Judge o0.5 HR+220
0.5u
A.Judge o1.5 Total Bases-125
1u
⭐️ Play of the Day

PRO Insights

Cardinals logo

Cardinals

STL Insights
  • Cardinals logoCardinals left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- tied for third lowest in MLB. Yankees have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB.
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Yankees logo

Yankees

NYY Insights
  • Yankees logoYankees have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB. The Cardinals have scored three or more runs in an inning just 128 times (5%) since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.
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Cardinals vs. Yankees Previews & Analysis

  • Cardinals vs. Yankees: Total Too Low? article feature image

    Cardinals vs. Yankees: Total Too Low?

    Nick Martin
    Sep 1, 2024 UTC
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Cardinals vs. Yankees Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Cardinals vs. Yankees Public Betting Percentages

5%

Bets%

95%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees
80-8235-4645-3662-7218-9
Cardinals
80-8242-3938-4328-4951-33

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Yankees
87-69-645-33-342-36-376-54-411-14-2
Cardinals
74-83-537-42-237-41-339-3834-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees
94-6844-3750-3176-5818-9
Cardinals
83-7944-3739-4239-3843-41

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 31stSTLL 5-6-1.5 LO 9.5STL -170
Aug 30thSTLW 6-3-1.5 WO 8.5NYY -191
Aug 28th@WSHL 2-5-1.5 LU 9WSH -225
Aug 27th@WSHL 2-4-1.5 LU 9WSH -262
Aug 26th@WSHW 5-2-1.5 WU 9NYY -190

Cardinals vs. Yankees Injury Updates

Cardinals Injuries

  • Sonny Gray
    P

    Gray is out with arm

    Out

  • Willson Contreras
    C

    Contreras is out with finger

    Out

Yankees Injuries

  • JT Brubaker
    P

    Brubaker is out with elbow

    Out

Cardinals vs. Yankees Box Score
Cardinals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Miles Mikolas logoRM.Mikolas, P90453
John King logoLJ.King, P201.102
Riley O'Brien logoRR.O'Brien, P90.100
JoJo Romero logoLJ.Romero, P271.130
Andrew Kittredge logoRA.Kittredge, P10110
Ryan Fernandez logoRR.Fernandez, P14120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Masyn Winn logo1M.Winn, SS2-6102
Luken Baker logo2L.Baker, DH1-3112
Alec Burleson logo2A.Burleson, PH1-2000
Alec Burleson logo2A.Burleson, DH1-2000
Nolan Arenado logo3N.Arenado, 3B1-5100
Paul Goldschmidt logo4P.Goldschmidt, 1B3-5000
Ivan Herrera logo5I.Herrera, C1-5100
Brendan Donovan logo6B.Donovan, 2B3-5300
Jordan Walker logo7J.Walker, RF5-5413
Lars Nootbaar logo8L.Nootbaar, LF3-5215
Victor Scott logo9V.Scott, CF1-5101
Yankees Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Nestor Cortes logoLN.Cortes, P80425
Scott Effross logoRS.Effross, P110.202
Tim Mayza logoLT.Mayza, P10100
Jake Cousins logoRJ.Cousins, P210.212
Tommy Kahnle logoRT.Kahnle, P200.102
Phil Bickford logoRP.Bickford, P201.110
Ron Marinaccio logoRR.Marinaccio, P23122
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Gleyber Torres logo1G.Torres, 2B1-4002
Juan Soto logo2J.Soto, RF1-5000
Aaron Judge logo3A.Judge, CF0-4000
Austin Wells logo4A.Wells, C0-5000
Giancarlo Stanton logo5G.Stanton, DH2-3111
Jazz Chisholm logo6J.Chisholm, 3B2-3300
Anthony Rizzo logo7A.Rizzo, 1B2-4201
Anthony Volpe logo8A.Volpe, SS1-4101
Alex Verdugo logo9A.Verdugo, LF2-4001

Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds Comparison

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Cardinals at Yankees Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Cardinals
0-0
o3.5-120
u3.5-110
Yankees
8-6
o5.5-115
u5.5-115