Cubs vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2023

Cubs at Brewers

12:10 am • BSWI

Chicago Cubs

3-3

4 - 3

Milwaukee Brewers

5-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Houser			4.12	8-5
J.Steele			3.06	16-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Brewers 5-1	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 12:10 a.m.

July 06, 2023

American Family FieldMilwaukee

J.Steele u18.5 Outs-107

0.93u

Bad number relative to the market at CZR via @SBK5065

Under 8.5-110

MIL +120

J.Steele u18.5 Outs-180

0.22u

MIL +124

0.5u

CHC pen is depleted & MIL is up to a 109 wRC+ L7 days with the better defense too (by 9 Runs Prevented)

CHC -148 (F5)

0.74u

A.Houser u15.5 Outs+100

0.5u

Under 8.5-117

0.85u

CHC -0.5 (F5)-120

Word around town is that Steele is himothy

J.Steele o17.5 Outs-160

$134.38

Under 8.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -117

Under 8.5-105

Steele 3.89 SIERA/2.99 xERA, Houser 4.80/4.11 - CHC 98/96 wRC+ Rd/v RHP, MIL 90/80 - Defenses combined 19 Runs Prevented - both pens middle of the league estimators L30 days

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The Cubs are 29-15 (.659) after a win as favorites since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .594.

Trey Mancini has an OPS of just .696 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Devin Williams has allowed an OPS of just .485 (362 PAs) since last season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Willy Adames has an OPS of just .421 with two strikes this season -- sixth worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Justin Steele has allowed an OPS of just .403 (176 PAs) with two strikes this season -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 87th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Brewers' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	5-1	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	5-1	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A
Cubs	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	CHC	L 6-7	-	-	-
Jul 3rd	CHC	W 8-6	-	-	-
Jul 2nd	@PIT	W 6-3	-	-	-
Jul 1st	@PIT	W 11-8	-	-	-
Jun 30th	@PIT	L 7-8	-	-	-

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out
Seiya Suzuki
RF
Suzuki is out with knee
Out

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Andrew Vaughn
1B
Vaughn is out with hand
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out
Steward Berroa
RF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	88	6	5	3
RM.Rucker, P	35	2	0	0
RA.Alzolay, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Tauchman, DH	1-3	2	2
2N.Hoerner, 2B	0-5	0	0
2N.Hoerner, SS	0-5	0	0
3S.Suzuki, RF	3-4	0	0
4I.Happ, LF	1-2	0	1
5D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0
5P.Wisdom, 3B	0-1	0	0
6C.Bellinger, CF	2-4	1	0
7C.Morel, 3B	1-4	0	0
7C.Morel, 2B	1-4	0	0
8J.Young, 1B	1-4	1	0
9T.Barnhart, C	0-2	0	0
9Y.Gomes, PH	0-2	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Houser, P	104	5	4	1
LH.Milner, P	20	1.2	0	0
RJ. Mejía, P	4	0.1	0	0
RJ.Payamps, P	14	1	1	0
RD.Williams, P	25	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	2-5	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-3	0	0	1
3W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	1	1
4O.Miller, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Jones, DH	1-3	1	0	0
6B.Perkins, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7B.Anderson, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
8A.Monasterio, 2B	2-3	1	0	0
8B.Turang, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Winker, PH	0-1	0	0	0