Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 21, 2023

Diamondbacks at Brewers

6:10 pm • BSWI

Arizona Diamondbacks

3-4

5 - 1

Milwaukee Brewers

5-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J. Teheran			4.39	3-5
Z.Gallen			3.47	17-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 3-4	N/A	N/A	N/A
Brewers 5-1	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 6:10 p.m.

June 21, 2023

American Family FieldMilwaukee

MIL +137

Over 9-110

1.1u

ARI -150

Under 9-115

Even giving a boost for the open roof, Gallen 3.45 SIERA/3.83 xERA, Teheran 4.38/3.12 & pitch models like the latter's fastball too - MIL 90/89/79 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days - Defenses comb. 18 Runs Prev. - ARI pen estimators top 1/3 L30 days, MIL near the back end of the middle third

ARI o4.5-120

0.83u

Under 8.5-107

ARI -152

0.66u

Z.Gallen o6.5 Ks-105

0.5u

MIL +130

0.5u

Bet to +128

Wednesday NRFI Bet: Custom Combo of Gallen, Javier
Shayne Trail•
Jun 21, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 21, 2023 UTC

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The Brewers are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Willy Adames has an OPS of just .380 with two strikes this season -- seventh worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .312 (198 PAs) with two strikes this season -- third best among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 57% when ahead in the count (10th lowest)-- 14th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (fifth highest among qualified SPs)-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (74/250) against Zac Gallen this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- second Percentile.

Julio Teheran has allowed an OBP of just .236 (110 PA's) this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .316 -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Brewers' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	5-1	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A
Diamondbacks	5-2	3-1	2-1	1-0	3-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	4-2	4-2	N/A	4-2	N/A
Diamondbacks	5-2	3-1	2-1	1-0	3-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	5-1	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A
Diamondbacks	3-4	3-1	0-3	1-0	1-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 21st	ARI	W 7-5	-	-	-
Jun 20th	ARI	L 1-9	-	-	-
Jun 18th	PIT	W 5-2	-	-	-
Jun 17th	PIT	W 5-0	-	-	-
Jun 17th	PIT	W 5-4	-	-	-

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Lourdes Gurriel
LF
Gurriel is out with knee
Out
Merrill Kelly
SP
Kelly is out with back
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful
Adrian Del Castillo
C
Del Castillo is out with calf
Out

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Andrew Vaughn
1B
Vaughn is out with hand
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out
Steward Berroa
RF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P		91	7	4	1
RS.McGough, P		22	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	1-5	0	1
2K.Marte, 2B	0-2	0	0
3C.Carroll, LF	0-4	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0
5P.Smith, DH	0-1	2	0
6E.Rivera, 3B	3-5	1	1
7A.Thomas, CF	3-5	1	1
8G.Moreno, C	1-5	1	1
9J.McCarthy, RF	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Teheran, P	88	5	3	0
RE.Peguero, P	24	0.2	1	1
LH.Milner, P	3	0.1	0	0
RP.Strzelecki, P	29	1	1	0
RT.Megill, P	34	1.1	2	3
RB.Wilson, P	10	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Tellez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
5O.Miller, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Anderson, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7R. Tapia, RF	1-3	1	1	1
8L.Urias, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	1-3	0	0	0