Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - July 19, 2024

Diamondbacks at Cubs

6:20 pm • MLB Network

Arizona Diamondbacks

25-22

5 - 2

Chicago Cubs

28-19

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Steele			3.07	5-5
R.Nelson			4.24	10-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 25-22	+1.5-165	o8-105	+124
Cubs 28-19	-1.5+140	u8-112	-149

Friday 6:20 p.m.

July 19, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

0.19u

#Tailing @Bigboss6

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

CHC -140 (F5)

Under 4.5 (F5)-122

1.25u

R.Nelson u4.5 Ks+100

0.5u

Under 7.5-115

0.43u

Flat to -117

CHC -105 (F5)

0.53u

Bet to -133

CHC +102

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -120

Under 7.5-120

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Featured Insight
Cubs have struck out just 17% over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last week -- lowest in MLB.

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The Diamondbacks are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

35% of Corbin Carroll strikeouts are looking this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 43% of Jorge Lopez strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (46/146) against Ryne Nelson this season -- tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- third Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has not allowed a walk in his last 80 PAs against a RHH dating back to June 8th -- Jon Gray has the longest active streak at 149.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 12-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Cubs' 25 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	25-22	13-12	12-10	16-12	9-10
Diamondbacks	22-25	12-14	10-11	14-18	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	27-17-3	16-8-1	11-9-2	15-11-2	12-6-1
Diamondbacks	21-23-3	9-14-3	12-9	15-14-3	6-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	28-19	15-10	13-9	19-9	9-10
Diamondbacks	25-22	13-13	12-9	18-14	7-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 14th	@STL	W 8-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC +106
Jul 14th	@STL	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	STL +123
Jul 13th	@STL	L 3-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	STL +114
Jul 13th	@STL	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	CHC +170
Jul 11th	@BAL	W 8-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC +114

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Drew Pomeranz
RP
Pomeranz is out with elbow
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	96	5.2	9	1
RK.Ginkel, P	21	1.1	1	0
RJ.Martinez, P	15	0	0	1
RR.Thompson, P	22	1	1	0
RP.Sewald, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	2-4	1	0
2G.Moreno, C	3-5	2	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	2-5	1	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-3	0	2
5R.Grichuk, DH	2-5	0	1
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0
7C.Carroll, RF	0-2	0	1
8G.Perdomo, SS	1-3	0	0
9A.Thomas, CF	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	94	4.2	6	5
RH.Wesneski, P	23	1.1	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	22	1	2	0
RJ.Tinoco, P	16	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	3-5	1	0
2M.Busch, 1B	1-4	1	0
3S.Suzuki, RF	0-3	0	0
4I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	1
5C.Morel, DH	1-3	0	1
6D.Swanson, SS	1-4	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	1-4	0	0
8T.Nido, C	0-2	0	0
8M.Tauchman, PH	0-2	0	0
8M.Tauchman, CF	0-2	0	0
9P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-3	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-1	0	0