Cubs vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 11, 2024

Cubs at Orioles

10:35 pm • MASN

Chicago Cubs

11-5

8 - 0

Baltimore Orioles

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Suarez			3.70	9-7
J.Steele			3.07	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 11-5	+1.5-180	o8.5-110	+114
Orioles 8-8	-1.5+150	u8.5-110	-135

Thursday 10:35 p.m.

July 11, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

G.Henderson o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

1.15u

Under 4.5 (F5)-105

0.95u

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -105

Under 8.5-105

0.95u

BAL -1.5+155

G.Henderson o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

1.15u

D.Swanson u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

1.22u

CHC +123

3.69u

Over 8.5-120

$60.00

CHC +100 (F5)

0.25u

+118 at Bally/Rivers = bigger bet. Otherwise small at +100

CHC +115

0.58u

Superbook. Bet to +110

BAL -125

1.25u

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 4.0 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- third highest in MLB (6 games). The Orioles have allowed 4.0 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- second highest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
Orioles RPs have a strikeout rate of 30% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB. Cubs right-handed hitters have struck out 31% against LHP over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB.

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The Orioles are 18-27 (.400) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .276.

Christopher Morel has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- 12th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 35% since last season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Dansby Swanson has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Albert Suarez has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .288 -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 10th	CHC	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -180
Jul 9th	CHC	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 9	CHC -188
Jul 7th	@ATH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	BAL -176
Jul 6th	@ATH	L 8-19	-1.5 L	O 9	ATH -159
Jul 6th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL -166

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LJ.Steele, P	70	7	4
LD.Smyly, P	13	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	18	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2M.Busch, 1B	2-4	3	0	2
3S.Suzuki, RF	3-5	1	0	3
4I.Happ, LF	1-4	1	0	1
4A.Canario, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4A.Canario, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5C.Morel, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	2-4	1	1	2
6D.Bote, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, SS	2-4	0	0	0
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Suarez, P		90	5	4	4
LC.Irvin, P		53	4	1	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2H.Kjerstad, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
3C.Cowser, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4A.Santander, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Westburg, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Hays, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Mateo, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	1-3	0	0	0