Cubs vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 11, 2024

Cubs at Orioles

10:35 pm • MASN

Chicago Cubs

33-31

8 - 0

Baltimore Orioles

31-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Suarez			3.70	9-7
J.Steele			3.07	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 33-31	+1.5-180	o8.5-110	+114
Orioles 31-33	-1.5+150	u8.5-110	-135

Thursday 10:35 p.m.

July 11, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

G.Henderson o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

1.15u

CHC -125 (F5)

Under 4.5 (F5)-105

0.95u

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -105

Under 8.5-105

0.95u

BAL -1.5+155

BAL -129

$15.00

BAL -129

$25.00

BAL -130

$1.30

G.Henderson o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

1.15u

BAL -130

0.65u

D.Swanson u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

CHC +123

3.69u

J.Steele u5.5 Ks-115

0.87u

CHC +100 (F5)

0.25u

+118 at Bally/Rivers = bigger bet. Otherwise small at +100

CHC +115

0.58u

Superbook. Bet to +110

BAL -125

1.25u

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 4.0 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- third highest in MLB (6 games). The Orioles have allowed 4.0 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- second highest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
Orioles RPs have a strikeout rate of 30% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB. Cubs right-handed hitters have struck out 31% against LHP over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB.

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The Orioles are 18-27 (.400) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .276.

Christopher Morel has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- 12th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 35% since last season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Dansby Swanson has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Albert Suarez has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .288 -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 13-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Orioles' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	31-33	18-16	13-17	15-18	16-15
Cubs	24-40	12-21	12-19	15-27	9-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	36-26-2	18-15-1	18-11-1	17-14-2	19-12
Cubs	36-28	18-15	18-13	22-20	14-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	31-33	19-15	12-18	17-16	14-17
Cubs	33-31	19-14	14-17	23-19	10-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 10th	CHC	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -180
Jul 9th	CHC	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 9	CHC -188
Jul 7th	@ATH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	BAL -176
Jul 6th	@ATH	L 8-19	-1.5 L	O 9	ATH -159
Jul 6th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL -166

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Dylan Beavers
RF
Dylan Beavers scratched Tuesday.
Out

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LJ.Steele, P	70	7	4
LD.Smyly, P	13	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	18	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2M.Busch, 1B	2-4	3	0	2
3S.Suzuki, RF	3-5	1	0	3
4I.Happ, LF	1-4	1	0	1
4A.Canario, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4A.Canario, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5C.Morel, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	2-4	1	1	2
6D.Bote, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, SS	2-4	0	0	0
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Suarez, P		90	5	4	4
LC.Irvin, P		53	4	1	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2H.Kjerstad, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
3C.Cowser, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4A.Santander, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Westburg, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Hays, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Mateo, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	1-3	0	0	0