Diamondbacks vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Diamondbacks at Orioles

8:05 pm • MASN2

Arizona Diamondbacks

10-10

4 - 5

Baltimore Orioles

8-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Means			2.61	2-0
R.Nelson			4.24	10-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 10-10	+1.5-155	o9-108	+130
Orioles 8-10	-1.5+130	u9-112	-155

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 11, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

ARI +130 (F5)

1.3u

Under 9-120

0.6u

Bet to 8.5 (-102)

ARI +155

0.5u

Bet to +139

ARI +145 (F5)

0.73u

Bet to +130

ARI +152

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Featured Insight
The Orioles have scored 5.2 runs per game on the road this season -- fifth highest in MLB (17 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 5.2 runs per game at home this season -- fifth highest in MLB (19 games).

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The Diamondbacks are just 83-9 (.902) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Eugenio Suarez has struck out in 30% of PA's since last season -- sixth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- tied for 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 32% (112 SO in 354 PAs) with two-strikes since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- second Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .513 (331 Total Bases / 645 ABs) since last season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .417 -- sixth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	ARI	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	BAL -135
May 8th	@WSH	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -167
May 7th	@WSH	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -218
May 5th	@CIN	W 11-1	+1.5 W	O 9	BAL +110
May 4th	@CIN	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL +102

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	87	4.2	3	3
RR.Thompson, P	13	1.1	1	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	9	1	0	0
RK.Ginkel, P	9	1	0	1
RP.Sewald, P	26	1	1	0
RB.Jarvis, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, DH	1-4	1	1	2
2C.Carroll, CF	0-4	0	0	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	2-5	0	0	1
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5R.Grichuk, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Pederson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5J.McCarthy, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	0-4	0	0	0
8B.Alexander, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
9K.Newman, SS	2-4	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Means, P	89	4.2	3	4
RM.Baumann, P	22	2.1	0	0
LK.Akin, P	17	1	1	0
RY.Cano, P	19	1	0	0
LD.Coulombe, P	15	1	1	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	2-4	1	1	1
2A.Rutschman, C	0-5	0	0	0
2R.McKenna, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2J.McCann, C	0-0	0	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, DH	1-4	0	0	1
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	3-5	1	0	0
5A.Santander, RF	1-4	1	1	1
6C.Cowser, CF	1-5	1	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	1-5	1	0	0
7J.Westburg, 3B	4-5	0	0	2
8H.Kjerstad, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, 2B	1-4	1	0	0