Orioles vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 7, 2024
Orioles at Nationals
10:45 pm • MASNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 2.03 | 6-1 | |
![]() | ![]() | 2.92 | 15-9 |
Orioles at Nationals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Orioles 8-10 | -1.5-135 | o8.5-118 | -218 | |
![]() Nationals 9-9 | +1.5+114 | u8.5-102 | +180 |

Nationals ParkWashington
Orioles vs. Nationals Expert Picks

The Degenerates
310d ago
Last 30d: 86-73-0 (+3.8u)
BAL -1.5-125
1.25u

Bruce Marshall
310d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BAL -1.5-130
1u

Prop Bet Guy
310d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-105
1.05u
Under in 4/7, and only has exceeded 6 Ks once (opening day vs the Angels). Gets a Nats lineup with 7 guys who have a sub-20% K% vs righties - and one who doesn’t (Rosario) has not K’ed in 5 ABs vs Burnes. And he’s been excellent vs lefties in general (.223 wOBA), but only a 18.2% K%. He faces five lefties today.

Green Dot Daily
310d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-105
1u
@The_Oddsmaker

Nick Martin
310d ago
Last 30d: 87-116-2 (+4.9u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-105
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Gilles Gallant
310d ago
Last 30d: 40-42-3 (+3.7u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-105
0.53u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Sean Koerner
310d ago
Last 30d: 4-8-0 (-4.7u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-105
1.05u

Jim Sannes
311d ago
Last 30d: 2-24-0 (-7.5u)
WSH +184
1.29u
40% for me, up from 35.2% implied. Trevor Williams is throwing his slider differently and throwing it more this year, and it has helped improve his underlying data quite a bit (beyond just the nice results). Orioles should be favored -- just not by this much.
PRO Insights

Orioles
BAL Insights
- Featured Insight
Orioles have won 58% of their games since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB. Nationals have won just 40% of their games since the 2022 season -- fourth worst.
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Orioles vs. Nationals Previews & Analysis
Orioles vs. Nationals Notes
Keys to the Game
The Orioles are 34-58 (.370) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Nationals are just 40-56 (.417) at home since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Orioles are 63-33 (.656) on the road since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Nationals are 61-6 (.910) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Matchup Contrasts
Adley Rutschman has struck out in just 15% of PA's since last season -- 15th lowest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Trevor Williams has a strikeout rate of just 14% vs left-handed batters since last season -- tied for second lowest among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP-- third Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 61% of the time (180/297) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 36% of Trevor Williams' breaking pitches (406/1,115) since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 47% -- 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams' non-fastballs (802/2,056) since the 2022 season -- tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- second Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Orioles vs. Nationals Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nationals vs. Orioles Injury Updates

Nationals Injuries
- Josiah GrayP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

Orioles Injuries
- Jorge MateoIF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
- Trevor RogersP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
- Kyle BradishP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
- Tyler WellsP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
- Chayce McDermottP
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable
Orioles vs. Nationals Box Score

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 95 | 6.1 | 6 | 3 | |
![]() | 18 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 77 | 5 | 8 | 0 | |
![]() | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Orioles vs. Nationals Odds Comparison
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Orioles at Nationals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Orioles 8-10 | o5.5+110 | u5.5-140 |
![]() Nationals 9-9 | o3.5+120 | u3.5-150 |