Diamondbacks vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 5, 2023

Diamondbacks at Twins

12:10 am • BSN

Arizona Diamondbacks

10-10

2 - 3

Minnesota Twins

7-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.43	8-6
M.Kelly			3.29	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 10-10	-1.5+169	o8-119	-101
Twins 7-9	+1.5-205	u8-102	-120

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

August 05, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

B.Ober o16.5 Outs-130

Over 8.5-105

MIN -130

MIN -125 (F5)

0.63u

Bet to -130

MIN -125

0.5u

Bet to -125

M.Kelly o16.5 Outs-125

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/propbetguy-mlb-player-prop-picks-jordan-montgomery-merrill-kelly-friday-august-4

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Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a groundball rate of 46% since last season -- third-highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB.

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The Diamondbacks are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

32% of Ketel Marte strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 44% of Dylan Floro strikeouts are looking since last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Tommy Pham struck out in 27% of PA's last season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Jhoan Duran had a strikeout rate of 34% last season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 3rd	@STL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -143
Aug 2nd	@STL	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	STL -127
Aug 1st	@STL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN -130
Jul 30th	@KC	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9	KC -177
Jul 29th	@KC	L 7-10	-1.5 L	O 9.5	KC -196

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P	93	6	9	2
RS.McGough, P	28	0.2	2	1
RL.Frias, P	6	0.1	1	0
RM.Castro, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3C.Carroll, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5T.Pham, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6L.Gurriel, DH	1-3	2	1	1
7E.Rivera, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7J. Peterson, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7J. Peterson, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.McCarthy, RF	2-3	0	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	1-3	0	0	1
9A.Thomas, PH	1-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	104	5	3	2
RD.Floro, P	19	1	1	0
LC.Thielbar, P	12	1.1	2	0
RE.Pagan, P	11	0.2	0	0
RJ.Duran, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Correa, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2K.Farmer, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	1	1
5M.Wallner, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6W.Castro, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Vazquez, C	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Gallo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-4	1	1	1