Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2024

Dodgers at Marlins

10:40 pm • SportsNet LA
9 - 11
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Darren McCaughan logoD.McCaughanMiami Marlins logo9.000-0
Bobby Miller logoB.MillerLos Angeles Dodgers logo8.522-4

Dodgers at Marlins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers
11-5
-1.5-142
o9.5-110
-230
Marlins
0-0
+1.5+122
u9.5-110
+190
location pinTuesday 10:40 p.m.
September 17, 2024
loanDepot parkMiami
Dodgers vs. Marlins Expert Picks
CeeJ Picks
CeeJ Picks
57d ago
Last 30d: 78-109-1 (+15.3u)
B.Miller u17.5 Outs-132
1u
Bobby Miller under 17.5 Outs (-132 FD) - Under in 9/12 games this season (averages 13.5 outs) - Under in 3 straight games and 7/L8 starts - On the road today where he is under in 4 straight and 6/7 on the season - Facing MIA who on the season rank 26th and 21st in wRC+ and OBP, but as of late they have been hitting the ball well ranking 5th in wRC+ and 2nd in OBP over the L15 days - MIA is a much better lineup vs RHP as most batters BA jumps from around .240 to .270 when facing RHP - MIA ranks 14th on the season in K%, but have 4 batters with K% of 24% and higher, so that could help run up Miller's PC and get him out earlier as well as the hits - He has allowed 3+ runs in 6 straight games and coming off back to back horrendous games allowing 5 hits in both and giving up 7 and 6 runs - Slight concern with the Dodgers using 4 BP arms yesterday, but Miller has been so bad and the Dodgers have at least a few arms they could use for when Miller blows up - This line has already bumped down to 16.5 on some books, so good value catching it on FD
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
57d ago
Last 30d: 24-44-0 (-15.0u)
T.Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases+115
1.15u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
57d ago
Last 30d: 108-102-5 (-3.6u)
MIA o3.5 Team Total-105
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
57d ago
Last 30d: 65-68-3 (+21.2u)
G.Conine o0.5 Hits-121
1u
B.Miller u5.5 Ks-101
0.99u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
57d ago
Last 30d: 76-59-0 (+9.5u)
B.Miller u17.5 Outs-132
1u
Miller is under in 9/12, including 6/7 on the road with a 11.39 ERA (5.41 xFIP), .483 wOBA, and a 2.2% K%-BB%. The Marlins have been sneaky good lately vs righties - L30 days with a 117 wRC+ and .784 OPS, including league average walk and called strike rates (they’ve been much more patient).
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
57d ago
Last 30d: 62-53-8 (+4.7u)
Under 9.5-115
1.15u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
57d ago
Last 30d: 49-72-3 (-9.0u)
Under 9.5-104
0.5u
Flat to -120 or 9 (-101)

PRO Insights

Dodgers logo

Dodgers

LAD Insights
  • Dodgers logoThe Dodgers have scored 5.5 runs per game on the road since last season -- highest in MLB (155 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.1 runs per game at home since last season -- second highest in MLB (156 games).
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Marlins logo

Marlins

MIA Insights
  • Marlins logoMarlins hitters have a groundball rate of 50% over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Dodgers over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Dodgers vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages

86%

Bets%

14%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
77-8535-4642-392-1575-70
Dodgers
81-7942-3839-4174-677-11

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Marlins
85-66-1153-20-832-46-311-5-174-61-10
Dodgers
88-67-545-31-443-36-179-57-59-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
62-10030-5132-494-1358-87
Dodgers
98-6452-2845-3591-506-12

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 15th@WSHL 3-4+1.5 WU 8.5WSH +147
Sep 14th@WSHL 1-4+1.5 LU 9WSH +120
Sep 13th@WSHL 1-4+1.5 LU 8WSH +120
Sep 12th@WSHW 6-3+1.5 WU 9MIA +160
Sep 11th@PITL 1-3+1.5 LU 9PIT +130

Dodgers vs. Marlins Injury Updates

Dodgers Injuries

  • Dustin May
    P

    May is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tony Gonsolin
    P

    Gonsolin is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Gavin Stone
    P

    Stone is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Emmet Sheehan
    P

    Sheehan is out with arm

    Out

Marlins Injuries

  • Sandy Alcantara
    P

    Alcantara is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Jesus Luzardo
    P

    Luzardo is out with back

    Out

  • Max Meyer
    P

    Meyer is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Eury Perez
    P

    Perez is out with elbow

    Out

Dodgers vs. Marlins Box Score
Dodgers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Bobby Miller logoRB.Miller, P65224
Michael Grove logoRM.Grove, P321.203
Alex Vesia logoLA.Vesia, P181.110
Ryan Brasier logoRR.Brasier, P25122
Brusdar Graterol logoRB.Graterol, P20120
Daniel Hudson logoRD.Hudson, P19102
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Shohei Ohtani logo1S.Ohtani, DH1-5112
Mookie Betts logo2M.Betts, RF2-5200
Freddie Freeman logo3F.Freeman, 1B1-3201
Teoscar Hernandez logo4T.Hernandez, LF2-4200
Max Muncy logo5M.Muncy, 3B3-5005
Tommy Edman logo6T.Edman, CF0-5000
Gavin Lux logo7G.Lux, 2B0-3000
Miguel Rojas logo8M.Rojas, SS1-4111
Hunter Feduccia logo9H.Feduccia, C2-4100
Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Darren McCaughan logoRD.McCaughan, P653.245
Anthony Veneziano logoLA.Veneziano, P251.121
Lake Bachar logoRL.Bachar, P16110
Anthony Bender logoRA.Bender, P24111
Declan Cronin logoRD.Cronin, P9100
Jesus Tinoco logoRJ.Tinoco, P24112
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Xavier Edwards logo1X.Edwards, SS1-5100
Connor Norby logo2C.Norby, 3B2-3400
Jesus Sanchez logo3J.Sanchez, LF5-5203
Cristian Pache logo3C.Pache, PR0-0100
Cristian Pache logo3C.Pache, CF0-0100
Jake Burger logo4J.Burger, 1B1-5114
Jonah Bride logo5J.Bride, DH1-5001
Kyle Stowers logo6K.Stowers, CF2-5002
Kyle Stowers logo6K.Stowers, LF2-5002
Otto Lopez logo7O.Lopez, 2B2-4111
Griffin Conine logo8G.Conine, RF0-3000
Nick Fortes logo9N.Fortes, C1-3100

Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds Comparison

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Dodgers at Marlins Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Dodgers
11-5
o5.5-125
u5.5-105
Marlins
0-0
o3.5-110
u3.5-120