Dodgers vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 22, 2023

Dodgers at Rangers

12:05 am • BSSW

Los Angeles Dodgers

11-5

11 - 5

Texas Rangers

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 11-5	+1.5-194	o9.5+100	+108
Rangers 0-0	-1.5+155	u9.5-120	-126

Saturday 12:05 a.m.

July 22, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

Over 9.5-110

0.45u

TEX -120

0.4u

T.Gonsolin o14.5 Outs-180

0.14u

TEX -108

Available at FanDuel. My model has the Rangers favored even if this game were at a neutral park, so giving them homefield makes laying -108 pretty easy. Tony Gonsolin hasn't been able to maintain the elite batted-ball suppression that propelled him to a huge year in 2022, and it has been getting even a bit worse recently. That's tough when you have to face a team with a 121 wRC+ against righties on the current active roster. Of course, the Dodgers could pummel Andrew Heaney, too, but I just think this Rangers team is broadly a bit underrated right now.

TEX -110 (F5)

0.55u

Need -110

TEX -105

0.53u

Bet to -110

TEX +100

FanDuel 9:08.

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The Rangers are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 55-40 (.579) this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are 5-4 (.556) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 27% of PA's since last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Andrew Heaney has a strikeout rate of 29% since last season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Josh Smith has an OPS of just .596 since last season -- 15th worst among hitters with at least 385 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Evan Phillips has allowed an OPS of just .463 (373 PAs) since last season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 33-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 19th	TB	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	TEX -124
Jul 19th	TB	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	TEX -134
Jul 18th	TB	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	TEX +105
Jul 16th	CLE	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9	TEX -140
Jul 15th	CLE	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 9	TEX -170

Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Gonsolin, P	92	5	6	4
LA.Vesia, P	17	0.1	1	1
RR.Brasier, P	8	0.2	0	0
RB.Graterol, P	13	1	0	0
LC.Ferguson, P	16	1	0	0
LJ.Bruihl, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, RF	1-4	2	0	2
2F.Freeman, 1B	2-4	3	1	3
3W.Smith, C	2-5	1	0	2
4J.Martinez, DH	2-4	0	0	3
5C.Taylor, LF	1-5	0	0	0
6M.Muncy, 3B	1-4	1	0	1
7J.DeLuca, CF	1-2	0	0	0
7J.Outman, PH	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Outman, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8M.Rojas, SS	1-2	3	0	0
9Y. Hernández, 2B	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Heaney, P	72	5	3	4
RJ.Leclerc, P	29	0.2	1	0
LB.Burke, P	7	0.1	0	0
RA.Speas, P	23	0	0	2
LC.Bradford, P	14	1.1	0	1
RG.Anderson, P	51	1.2	4	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	2-3	2	1	1
2J.Smith, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2J.Smith, SS	0-0	0	0	0
3N.Lowe, 1B	1-2	2	1	2
4A.Garcia, RF	1-2	1	0	0
5J.Jung, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Heim, C	0-3	0	0	1
7T.Jankowski, LF	0-2	0	0	1
7M.Garver, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8E.Duran, DH	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	0-4	0	0	0