Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - June 4, 2024

Giants at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • NBCS-BA

San Francisco Giants

13-4

2 - 4

Arizona Diamondbacks

10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 13-4	+1.5	+1.5-184	o9-103	+110
Diamondbacks 10-10	u9	-1.5+153	u9-116	-130

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

June 04, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

Under 9-110

0.5u

Bet to -115

SF +116

Under 9-105

ARI -126

1.59u

R.Nelson u16.5 Outs-113

1.13u

Nelson really can’t pitch at home: 8.66 ERA, .420 wOBA, 5.09 xFIP this year; 8.25 ERA, .434 wOBA, 6.08 xFIP last season. His walk rate also shoots up and strike % shoots down, which leads to a lot of short outings. Under in 3/4 road starts this season, and 10/12 last season. Giants have been seeing more pitches lately - 3rd lowest chase rate over the L30 days (per statcast). And their projected lineup should have 6 guys who see above avg pitches per PA.

M.Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases+110

Under 9-115

0.87u

Think both Spencer Howard and Ryne Nelson are a bit underrated right now. Roof will be closed tonight in Arizona, which helps. Have this total closer to 8 than 9.

M.Chapman o1.5 Total Bases+100

Featured Insight
The Giants have scored 1.5 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- third highest in MLB (30 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 1.9 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- highest in MLB (29 games).

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The Giants are 17-97 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Christian Walker is batting .297 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for seventh best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Luke Jackson has thrown his slider 66% of the time this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Ketel Marte is slugging .628 on breaking pitches since last season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Taylor Rogers has thrown his slider 53% of the time since last season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 2nd	@NYM	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	ARI -112
Jun 1st	@NYM	W 10-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	ARI +105
May 31st	@NYM	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 7	NYM +103
May 30th	@NYM	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7	NYM -125
May 29th	@TEX	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 9	TEX +114

Tom Murphy
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Murphy is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LE.Miller, P	15	1	0	0
RS.Howard, P	67	4.2	3	2
RS.Hjelle, P	25	1.1	2	0
RT.Rogers, P	16	1	2	0
RR.Rodriguez, P	14	0.1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Wisely, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2P.Bailey, C	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Chapman, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
4M.Conforto, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5H.Ramos, RF	2-4	1	1	1
6J.Soler, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Yastrzemski, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Schmitt, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9T.Brooks, 1B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P		80	7.2	1	2
RR.Thompson, P		16	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2G.Moreno, C	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Pederson, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5L.Gurriel, LF	1-4	1	1	1
6J.McCarthy, RF	1-4	1	0	0
7E.Suarez, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
7P.Smith, PH	1-1	1	1	2
8C.Carroll, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Alexander, SS	2-3	0	0	1