Giants vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Giants at Marlins

4:10 pm • BSFL

San Francisco Giants

2-3

3 - 1

Miami Marlins

4-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2
K.Winn			7.16	3-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 2-3	-1.5+147	o8-113	-112
Marlins 4-1	+1.5-177	u8-108	-107

Wednesday 4:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

J.Soler o1.5 Total Bases+115

0.58u

SF +104

0.52u

Superbook. Bet to -111

SF -104 (F5)

0.25u

Superbook. Bet to -113

SF -107

0.93u

T.Rogers o1.5 BB-135

T.Rogers o4.5 Ks-135

0.74u

SF -118

0.5u

SF -118

Both of these pitchers have estimators around four and an ERA closer to five through three starts with a 9.1 K-BB% (Keaton Winn) and an 8.3 K-BB% (Trevor Rogers). Both have generated more than half their contact (Winn 59.1%, Rogers 51%) on the ground. Winn has superior pitch metrics (Stuff+ Pitching+ & PitchingBot). SFG 120 wRC+ v LHP, MIA 86 v RHP. SFG bullpen hsa been better and their defense FAR better.

Featured Insight
The Giants have scored 1.8 runs per game in late innings this season -- fifth highest in MLB (17 games). The Marlins have allowed 2.3 runs per game in late innings this season -- highest in MLB (17 games).

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Featured Insight
Marlins RPs had a strikeout rate of 25% last season -- ninth highest in MLB. Giants struck out 24% last season -- sixth highest in MLB.

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The Marlins are 7-75 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

39% of Michael Conforto strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among hitters with at least 510 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 37% of Bryan Hoeing strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has struck out just 10% (5/51) of right-handed batters he faced this season -- 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- fourth Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to April 14th, 2023 -- Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 9.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	1-4	1-4	N/A	1-4	N/A
Giants	1-4	0-3	1-1	1-0	0-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A
Giants	1-3-1	0-2-1	1-1	1-0	0-3-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	4-1	4-1	N/A	4-1	N/A
Giants	2-3	0-3	2-0	1-0	1-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	SF	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIA +114
Apr 15th	SF	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8.5	SF -105
Apr 14th	ATL	L 7-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	ATL +120
Apr 13th	ATL	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +185
Apr 12th	ATL	L 1-8	+1.5 L	U 9	ATL +165

Hayden Birdsong
SP
Birdsong is out with arm
Out

Esteury Ruiz
LF
Ruiz is out with oblique
Out
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with hamstring
Out
Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Christopher Morel
LF
Christopher Morel (left oblique) scratched Friday.
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Winn, P	81	6	4	1
LE.Miller, P	14	1	1	0
RT.Rogers, P	13	1	0	0
RC.Doval, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Slater, RF	0-3	0	0
1L.Wade, PH	0-1	0	0
1M.Yastrzemski, RF	0-1	0	0
2W.Flores, 1B	0-4	0	0
3J.Lee, CF	2-4	1	0
4J.Soler, DH	2-3	1	0
5M.Chapman, 3B	1-4	0	1
6T.Estrada, 2B	2-4	1	1
7P.Bailey, C	1-3	0	0
8N.Ahmed, SS	0-4	0	0
9T.Fitzgerald, LF	1-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	93	5.2	6	1
RD.Cronin, P	26	1.1	1	1
RA.Bender, P	23	1	1	1
RS.Sanchez, P	21	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	2-4	1	1	1
3J.Chisholm, CF	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Bell, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6T.Anderson, SS	1-3	0	0	0
7N.Gordon, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Lopez, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8A.Garcia, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Pereda, C	0-2	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, 3B	1-1	0	0	0