Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 12, 2024

Braves at Marlins

11:10 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

8-8

8 - 1

Miami Marlins

6-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 8-8	-1.5-125	o9-108	-200
Marlins 6-9	+1.5+105	u9-112	+165

Friday 11:10 p.m.

April 12, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

ATL -1.5-125

$3.20

Over 8.5-120

$3.33

Over 8.5-117

ATL -1.5-118

M.Fried u5.5 Ks-115

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

M.Fried u5.5 Ks-115

ATL -190

0.53u

J.Burger u0.5 Hits+140

1.4u

Burgers all day

Featured Insight
Braves have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- tied for highest in MLB. Marlins right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Marlins have struck out just 19% over the last week -- 10th lowest in MLB. Braves have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last week -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Braves are 33-47 (.412) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .217.

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

The Marlins are 28-19 (.596) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Marlins are 57-10 (.851) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

Austin Riley is slugging .538 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- fifth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Tanner Scott has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 74.3 MPH (3 batted balls) this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 -- 100th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to April 14th, 2023 -- the longest active streak is 8.

Trevor Rogers has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 80.0 MPH (16 batted balls) this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 -- 98th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (163 balls in play) -- tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 10th	@NYY	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +184
Apr 9th	@NYY	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	NYY +180
Apr 8th	@NYY	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	NYY +130
Apr 7th	@STL	W 10-3	+1.5 W	O 9	MIA +120
Apr 6th	@STL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8	STL +125

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	84	6.1	4	1
RP.Johnson, P	11	0.2	1	0
LA.Minter, P	14	1	1	0
LA.Bummer, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-4	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	2	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	1-5	0	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	3-4	2	1	3
6A.Duvall, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-5	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	3-5	2	0	1
9T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	80	5	5	2
RG.Soriano, P	25	1.2	1	3
LA.Nardi, P	17	0	0	2
RB.Smith, P	16	0.1	0	0
RM.Andriese, P	26	2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-2	0	0
2J.Bell, DH	1-4	0	0
3J.Burger, 1B	0-4	0	0
4B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	0
6A.Garcia, RF	1-4	0	0
7E.Rivera, 3B	1-4	0	1
8N.Fortes, C	0-2	0	0
8J.Sanchez, PH	0-1	0	0
8C.Bethancourt, C	0-0	0	0
9V.Brujan, SS	0-3	0	0