Giants vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2023

Giants at Padres

10:05 pm • MLB Network

San Francisco Giants

0-0

11 - 16

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Musgrove			3.05	10-3
S.Manaea			4.44	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 0-0	+1.5-105	o15.5-105	+165
Padres 4-3	-1.5-115	u15.5-115	-199

Saturday 10:05 p.m.

April 29, 2023

Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu

J.Musgrove o4.5 Ks-135

J.Soto o0.5 RBI-120

0.5u

VSIN

T.Grisham o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.1u

H.Kim o1.5 Total Bases-120

0.12u

A.Nola o1.5 Total Bases-113

0.11u

X.Bogaerts o0.5 HR+350

0.35u

Given on VSIN

X.Bogaerts o0.5 RBI-105

0.5u

Given out on VSIN.

H.Kim o1.5 Total Bases-120

0.6u

VSI

J.Pederson o1.5 Total Bases-150

0.1u

B.Sabol o1.5 Total Bases+105

0.11u

L.Wade Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.1u

J.Musgrove u5.5 Ks-135

MGM. This game is gonna get weird with the altitude. Musgrove is someone who relies heavily on his breaking balls for K’s, and he should struggle actually getting the movement he’s used to on those pitches. Plus, in his second start of the season, I don’t expect SD to hang one of their aces out to dry if he gets shelled.

Under 15.5-110

0.55u

Full middle. Bet to 15 (-108). Would bet regardless of whether you have the Over, but can also wait for a live number after early scoring

Under 8.5 (F5)-118

2.6u

Over 8.5 (F5)-110

0.91u

Over 13-125

0.5u

Mexico game. Projected 14.1. Bet to 13.5 (-112). FD already at 14.5. Im guessing this closes above 15 and we can hunt a two run middle

Over 12.5-115

This number is 14.5 at DK/FD, and could rise more

The Big Betting Edge for Giants-Padres in Mexico City
PJ Walsh•
Apr 29, 2023 UTC

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The Padres are just 135-108 (.556) when favorites since the 2021 season -- tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.

The Giants are 7-7 (.500) when underdogs this season -- tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .386.

The Padres are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.

Xander Bogaerts batted .289 on non-fastballs last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Opponents batted .274 (71-for-259) against Sean Manaea non-fastballs last season -- tied for ninth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- ninth Percentile.

Thairo Estrada has a miss rate of only 8% on inside fastballs since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Joe Musgrove has located his fastball inside 45% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed an OPS of 1.368 (122 PA's) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 1.047 -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .250 (17-for-68) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .340 -- 96th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has walked 13 of 343 right-handed batters (4%) since last season -- tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 94th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	@CHC	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -174
Apr 26th	@CHC	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	SD -110
Apr 25th	@CHC	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 7	CHC -106
Apr 23rd	@ARI	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 9	SD -155
Apr 23rd	@ARI	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9.5	SD -148

Robbie Ray
P
Ray is out with hamstring
Out
Wilmer Flores
IF
Flores is out with knee
Out
Jordan Hicks
P
Hicks is out with shoulder
Out
Kyle Harrison
P
Harrison is out with shoulder
Out
Keaton Winn
P
Winn is out with elbow
Out
Jung Hoo Lee
OF
Lee is out with shoulder
Out

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	71	2	3	4
RJ.Junis, P	49	2.2	4	5
LT.Rogers, P	28	1.1	2	0
RT.Rogers, P	11	0.2	1	2
LS.Alexander, P	22	0.1	0	3
RJ.Brebbia, P	24	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Wade, 1B	1-3	2	1	1
2T.Estrada, 2B	4-5	0	0	3
2T.Estrada, SS	4-5	0	0	3
3J.Pederson, DH	1-5	0	0	0
4J.Davis, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
5M.Conforto, RF	1-5	1	0	0
6M.Haniger, LF	2-5	2	1	3
7M.Yastrzemski, CF	0-3	1	0	0
8B.Sabol, C	1-4	2	1	2
9B.Crawford, SS	1-2	1	1	1
9B.Wisely, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9D.Villar, PH	1-3	1	1	1
9D.Villar, 2B	1-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Musgrove, P	73	3.1	3	7
RB.Honeywell, P	33	1.2	1	1
LT.Hill, P	29	1	2	0
RS.Wilson, P	28	0.2	1	3
LT.Cosgrove, P	4	0.1	0	0
RN.Martinez, P	30	2	5	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	2-6	2	1	2
2M.Machado, 3B	3-4	4	2	3
3J.Soto, LF	1-3	1	1	1
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-5	2	1	1
5N. Cruz, DH	5-6	1	1	4
6J.Cronenworth, 1B	2-6	1	0	0
7H.Kim, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
8A.Nola, C	1-3	2	0	1
9T.Grisham, CF	2-4	2	0	2