Padres vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2023
Padres at Cubs
11:40 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.06 | 16-5 | |
 |  | 2.25 | 14-9 |
Padres at Cubs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Padres 2-4 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
Cubs 3-3 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
Wrigley FieldChicago
Padres vs. Cubs Expert Picks
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 99-92-4 (-2.0u)
CHC -110
1u
Anders
Last 30d: 14-17-0 (-2.5u)
Under 8.5-110
1u
forgot i panic bet this on US when they had this up last night… so ig this is a 4U play with a 1U middle
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 228-260-1 (-6.8u)
F.Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases+120
$1.00
SD -110
$1.10
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
SD -102
1.02u
Over 7-115
1.15u
Anders
Last 30d: 14-17-0 (-2.5u)
Over 7-115
1.15u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
SD -105
1.05u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 81-70-0 (+10.6u)
SD u3.5-114
0.88u
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 69-114-1 (+8.7u)
Over 3.5 (F5)-115
0.58u
CHC -114 (F5)
0.5u
CHC -122
0.5u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
SD +0.5 (F5)-141
1u
Tailing ParlaySafaris pitch. Lean Padres FG hope I don’t get fucked
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 199-261-16 (-9.9u)
Under 7.5-115
0.87u
Anders
Last 30d: 14-17-0 (-2.5u)
CHC +100
1u
Under 9-115
3u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 7.5-119
1u
CHC -125
1u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 130-125-3 (+7.9u)
Under 7.5-102
0.5u
Bet to -111
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 9-7-2 (+1.1u)
CHC -108
1.5u
Cubs are 30 points better (wRC+) than SDP vs LHP - Steele's worst estimator is more than a run better than Snell's best - CHC pen doesn't have an estimator above 3.70, the SDP pen doesn't have one below 4.00.
Padres vs. Cubs Previews & Analysis
Padres vs. Cubs Notes
Keys to the Game
The Cubs are just 37-25 (.597) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Cubs are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Padres are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Padres are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .121.
Matchup Contrasts
Juan Soto is batting just .131 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- fifth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .124 (25-for-201) on Justin Steele breaking pitches since last season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP-- 100th Percentile.
Dansby Swanson has a miss rate of 80% on changeups this season -- worst in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Opponents have a miss rate of 48% against Blake Snell changeups this season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (51/95) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% -- 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .119 (8-for-67) against Justin Steele this season -- tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 -- 98th Percentile.
Blake Snell has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 44% (52/117) of the time this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 63% -- first Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Padres vs. Cubs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cubs' 6 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Cubs vs. Padres Injury Updates
Cubs Injuries
- Tyler Austin1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
- Justin SteeleSP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
- Jordan WicksSP
Wicks is out with arm
Out
- Seiya SuzukiRF
Suzuki is out with knee
Out
Padres Injuries
- Joe MusgroveSP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
- Griffin CanningSP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
- Matt WaldronSP
Waldron is out with lower body
Out
- Will Wagner3B
Wagner is out with oblique
Out
Padres vs. Cubs Box Score
Padres Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 105 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |
 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 35 | 0.2 | 0 | 4 | |
 | 5 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cubs Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 98 | 5.1 | 5 | 0 | |
 | 12 | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Padres vs. Cubs Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Padres at Cubs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Padres 2-4 | N/A | N/A |
Cubs 3-3 | N/A | N/A |