Padres vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2023

Padres at Cubs

11:40 pm • MLB Network

San Diego Padres

4-3

0 - 6

Chicago Cubs

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Steele			3.06	16-5
B.Snell			2.25	14-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	-1.5+162	o7-122	-106
Cubs 0-0	+1.5-200	u7+100	-110

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

April 25, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

CHC -110

SD -102

1.02u

Over 7-115

1.15u

SD -110

1.1u

SD u3.5-114

0.88u

B.Snell u16.5 Outs-130

MGM. Snell has yet to push past 5 innings in three starts this season. He’s once again at the top of the list for pitches per plate appearance (4.37, 3rd most out of 135 qualified starters). Cubs are 7th as a team in pitches per PA, and rate 5th and 8th in OPS and wRC+ respectively versus LHP. 5 of 7 lefties have stayed under this line vs CHC (Urias and Kershaw went over). Wind is blowing in, but I’m still good with this.

Under 7.5-119

CHC -120

0.4u

Under 7.5-120

0.4u

CHC -125

Under 7.5-102

0.5u

Bet to -111

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The Cubs are just 37-25 (.597) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Cubs are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.

The Padres are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Padres are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .121.

Juan Soto is batting just .131 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- fifth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .124 (25-for-201) on Justin Steele breaking pitches since last season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Dansby Swanson has a miss rate of 80% on changeups this season -- worst in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Opponents have a miss rate of 48% against Blake Snell changeups this season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (51/95) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% -- 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .119 (8-for-67) against Justin Steele this season -- tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 -- 98th Percentile.

Blake Snell has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 44% (52/117) of the time this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 63% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	LAD	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	LAD +121
Apr 22nd	LAD	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +105
Apr 21st	LAD	W 13-0	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CHC +140
Apr 20th	LAD	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 11.5	LAD -105
Apr 19th	@ATH	W 12-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CHC -163

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Snell, P	105	5	5	2
RL.Garcia, P	11	1	0	0
LR.Weathers, P	10	1	0	0
RS.Wilson, P	35	0.2	0	4
LR.Kerr, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6H.Kim, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Carpenter, DH	1-4	0	0	0
8A.Nola, C	1-2	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LJ.Steele, P	98	5.1	5
RA.Alzolay, P	12	0.2	2
RM.Leiter, P	22	1	1
RK.Thompson, P	18	1	1
RM.Rucker, P	17	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-5	0	0	3
2D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5P.Wisdom, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
6E. Hosmer, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7T. Mancini, 1B	1-2	2	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	4-4	2	1	3
9N.Velazquez, CF	1-3	1	0	0