Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 18, 2024

Guardians at Red Sox

5:35 pm • NESN

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

5 - 4

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bernardino			4.06	4-3
C.Carrasco			5.64	3-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	-1.5+152	o8.5-109	-110
Red Sox 0-0	+1.5-180	u8.5-111	-108

Thursday 5:35 p.m.

April 18, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

CLE -110

1.82u

C.Carrasco o4.5 Ks+120

0.6u

Under 9.5-120

0.83u

... home team went under by 5 and now home team is fav or slight dogs Overall: 757-544-69,58% (ROI:12%) Season:5-2-0,71% (ROI:38%)

BOS -115

... home favs off a short win in a non division game and were fav last game Overall: 572-319-0,64% (ROI:11%) Season:2-4-0,33% (ROI:-44%)

Under 9.5-115

BOS -118 (F5)

1.18u

Under 9.5-114

0.5u

Bet to 9 (-110)

Featured Insight
The Guardians are batting .311 with RISP this season -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .315 (28-for-89) against Red Sox RPs with RISP this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB. Guardians right-handed hitters have struck out 36% against LHP over the last week -- highest in MLB.

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4 MLB Best Bets for Thursday
Action Network Staff•
Apr 18, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Rafael Devers has an OPS of .858 since the 2022 season -- 14th best in MLB-- 87th Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .834 (423 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth worst among qualified RPs-- second Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (86/442) against Brennan Bernardino since last season -- lowest among in AL; League Avg: 30% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .412 (54-for-131) against Carlos Carrasco's inside fastball since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .262 -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (86/442) against Brennan Bernardino since last season -- 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 17th	CLE	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -135
Apr 16th	CLE	L 7-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -121
Apr 15th	CLE	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CLE -161
Apr 14th	LAA	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 10	BOS -133
Apr 13th	LAA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	BOS -105

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Carrasco, P	89	5.2	5	2
RC.Smith, P	15	0.1	1	2
LT.Herrin, P	15	1	2	0
RH.Gaddis, P	10	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Gimenez, 2B	2-5	0	2
2D.Fry, LF	1-3	1	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	1
5T.Freeman, CF	1-3	1	0
6B.Naylor, C	1-4	0	0
7R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	1
8G.Arias, 3B	0-4	1	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Bernardino, P	21	2	2	0
RC.Criswell, P	55	2.1	0	1
LJ.Jacques, P	33	1.2	2	1
RJ.Slaten, P	24	2	1	0
RC.Martin, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	2	2
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	2	2
2T.Casas, 1B	1-5	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	1-4	0	1
4E.Valdez, 2B	1-3	0	0
4R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0
4R.Refsnyder, LF	0-1	0	0
5C.Wong, DH	0-4	0	0
6D.Hamilton, SS	0-3	0	0
7P.Reyes, 3B	0-4	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	1-3	1	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	1	0
9C.Rafaela, 2B	1-4	1	0