Guardians vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Guardians at White Sox

11:10 pm • BSGL

Cleveland Guardians

25-17

1 - 3

Chicago White Sox

13-29

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Clevinger			6.75	0-3
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 25-17	-1.5-111	o8-111	-180
White Sox 13-29	+1.5-109	u8-109	+150

Saturday 11:10 p.m.

May 11, 2024

Rate FieldChicago

Over 4.5 (F5)+103

CLE -1.5+100

0.5u

M.Clevinger u3.5 Ks-112

Projection leans towards the under here and +ev bet with devig odds of -149 giving value to the under

Over 8-105

0.53u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Guardians RPs have allowed an OPS of just .573 (615 PAs) this season -- second best in MLB. White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .601 this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
White Sox hitters have a groundball rate of 46% since last season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 46-50 (.479) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Triston McKenzie has walked 16 of 97 batters (17%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (50/195) against Mike Clevinger since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (8/30) against Triston McKenzie in two-strike counts this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 12-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of White Sox' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	23-19	11-10	12-9	N/A	23-19
Guardians	20-22	11-10	9-12	9-7	11-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	19-21-2	11-8-2	8-13	N/A	19-21-2
Guardians	20-19-3	7-13-1	13-6-2	10-6	10-12-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	13-29	9-12	4-17	N/A	13-29
Guardians	25-17	14-7	11-10	13-3	12-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	CLE	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 7	CWS -120
May 9th	CLE	W 3-2	-	-	-
May 8th	@TB	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CWS +217
May 7th	@TB	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +220
May 6th	@TB	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	TB +138

Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
SP
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out
Lane Thomas
CF
Thomas is out with wrist
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Ky Bush
SP
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Chase Meidroth
2B
Meidroth is day-to-day with thumb
Day-to-Day
Drew Thorpe
SP
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	91	6.2	5	1
RC.Smith, P	5	0.1	0	0
RS.Barlow, P	20	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Florial, LF	0-2	0	0	0
1D.Fry, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1D.Fry, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5W.Brennan, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Manzardo, DH	1-3	0	0	0
9G.Arias, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Clevinger, P	73	4.2	5	1
LT.Hill, P	15	1.1	1	0
LJ.Shuster, P	27	2	2	0
RJ.Brebbia, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Pham, CF	1-3	0	0
1T.Pham, RF	1-3	0	0
2G.Sheets, RF	0-3	0	0
2R.Ortega, CF	0-0	0	0
3A.Vaughn, 1B	2-4	1	0
4E.Jimenez, DH	1-3	0	0
4B.Shewmake, PR	0-0	0	0
4B.Shewmake, DH	0-0	0	0
5A.Benintendi, LF	0-3	0	1
6B.Ramos, 3B	0-4	0	0
7P.DeJong, SS	1-4	1	0
8N.Lopez, 2B	1-3	1	1
9M.Maldonado, C	1-3	0	1