Guardians vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2023

Guardians at White Sox

12:10 am • NBCS-CHI

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

3 - 8

Chicago White Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Lynn			6.47	6-9
S.Bieber			3.80	6-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	-1.5+134	o8.5-110	-120
White Sox 0-0	+1.5-162	u8.5-110	+102

Wednesday 12:10 a.m.

May 17, 2023

Rate FieldChicago

CWS +114

0.57u

L.Lynn u6.5 Ks-144

1.44u

I’m showing some slight value under 5.5, but FanDuel offering under 6.5 -144 is an auto play. I’m projecting him finishing with 6 Ks exactly 16% of the time and a fair price closer to -230 for under 6.5

L.Lynn o2.5 Earned Runs+115

Last 7 start: 7, 4, 4, 4, 5, 3, 8 earned runs. 11 homers allowed in 44 IP this season. He’s not avoiding barrels at all - 10.7% barrel rate is +4% over last season (and the MLB average). CLE’s offense is not good, but they have solid history vs Lynn. AndL Lynn will be on a long leash, as always. Good hitting conditions as well

CWS +102

1.02u

🥩

Under 8+105

0.5u

Bet to -104 or 8.5 (-123). Prefer 8 (+105) to 8.5 (-115)

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The Guardians are just 12-10 (.545) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 14th	HOU	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7.5	HOU +110
May 13th	HOU	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CWS -130
May 13th	HOU	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	HOU +130
May 11th	@KC	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	KC -110
May 10th	@KC	L 1-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	KC -154

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Bieber, P	88	4.2	4	5
RX.Curry, P	25	1.1	0	1
RN.Sandlin, P	10	1	2	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	24	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-3	1	2
2A.Rosario, SS	1-4	0	0
3J.Naylor, 1B	1-2	0	0
3B.Rocchio, PH	1-2	0	0
3B.Rocchio, 3B	1-2	0	0
4J.Bell, DH	1-4	0	1
5A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0
6G.Arias, 3B	0-4	0	0
6G.Arias, 1B	0-4	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	2-4	0	0
8M. Zunino, C	0-2	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-2	0	0
8D.Fry, C	0-2	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	1-3	2	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P	97	7	7	1
RK.Middleton, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Kelly, P	7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Anderson, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2A.Benintendi, LF	2-5	0	0	0
3L.Robert, CF	1-4	2	1	1
4Y.Moncada, 3B	2-4	2	0	1
5A.Vaughn, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
6G.Sheets, RF	1-5	1	1	3
6J. Marisnick, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7Y.Grandal, C	3-4	1	0	0
8J.Burger, DH	2-4	1	1	2
9H. Alberto, 2B	2-4	0	0	0