Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2023

Mariners at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SN1

Seattle Mariners

7-16

2 - 3

Toronto Blue Jays

13-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Manoah			5.87	3-9
L.Castillo			3.34	14-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 7-16	-1.5+160	o8.5-115	-105
Blue Jays 13-8	+1.5-192	u8.5-105	-115

Friday 11:07 p.m.

April 28, 2023

Rogers CentreToronto

A.Manoah o5.5 Ks-109

$50.00

Tailing Sura

Over 8.5-116

1.16u

SEA -105

1.05u

TOR +106 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -102

Over 8.5-114

1.14u

SEA -110

1.1u

Over 8.5-115

SEA -125 (F5)

0.5u

SEA -110

0.44u

SEA -110

1.1u

SEA o4.5+110

SEA +107

SEA o4-122

A.Manoah u5.5 Ks-115

I've got Manoah projected for just 4.75 strikeouts here, which bodes well for an under. Manoah has been cutting back on his four-seamer for 9 starts now. In that time, his strikeout rate is down to 19.5%. That is higher than it is this year, so it should rise a bit as the year goes along, but it also means his low rate this year isn't new. Manoah has gotten five strikeouts three times in five starts, so he's flirting with the over but hasn't gotten there yet. I still think there's value in this number even if I expect him to improve going forward.

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The Blue Jays are 39-58 (.402) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Mariners are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Mariners are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Blue Jays are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .040.

Matt Chapman is slugging .783 on fastballs this season -- third best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 66% of the time this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has struck out 36% (20/55) of right-handed batters he faced this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 97th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .164 (55 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 -- 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has a strike rate of just 57% (146/255) vs left-handed batters this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (23/64) against Alek Manoah on changeups this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% -- fourth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	CWS	W 8-0	-1.5 W	U 10	TOR -190
Apr 25th	CWS	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 9	TOR -210
Apr 24th	CWS	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 9	TOR -159
Apr 23rd	@NYY	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	TOR -135
Apr 22nd	@NYY	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7	NYY +150

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	95	5	4	2
RT.Gott, P	15	1	1	1
RM.Brash, P	12	1	1	0
RP.Murfee, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rodriguez, CF	2-3	0	0	0
2T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Kelenic, LF	2-4	1	0	0
4E.Suarez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
5T.Hernandez, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Raleigh, C	2-4	1	1	2
7J.Crawford, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Caballero, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8T. La Stella, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9K. Wong, 2B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Manoah, P	100	5	7	2
LT.Mayza, P	15	1	2	0
RY.Garcia, P	10	1	2	0
RE.Swanson, P	10	1	2	0
RJ.Romano, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-4	0	0	1
2B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
4M.Chapman, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
5D.Varsho, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Kirk, C	3-4	1	1	1
7B. Belt, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Merrifield, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-2	0	0	0