White Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - April 26, 2023

White Sox at Blue Jays

5:07 pm • MLB Network

Chicago White Sox

0-0

0 - 8

Toronto Blue Jays

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Kikuchi			3.87	11-6
M.Kopech			5.43	5-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
White Sox 0-0	+1.5-120	o10+100	+159
Blue Jays 0-0	-1.5+100	u10-118	-190

Wednesday 5:07 p.m.

April 26, 2023

Rogers CentreToronto

CWS +155 (F5)

CWS +170

0.3u

A.Vaughn o0.5 RBI+230

0.5u

Bet365 11:52.

Y.Kikuchi o1.5 BB-130

0.5u

Bet365 11:51.

Over 5 (F5)-130

1.5u

CWS +155 (F5)

Sorry @NicholaskMartin but this is a great spot to fade Kikuchi after 12 IP, 2R vs NY/TB

B.Bichette o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.5u

Good buy low spot on Bo after he’s gone under this number in 1 of L7 He’s 2/3 lifetime vs Kopech and is hitting RHP better than left (.329/.363/.500) Some cause for concern for Kopech who is B5# in xSLG/hard-hit rate/barrel%

CWS +175

0.4u

CWS +175

0.5u

Bet to +161

CWS +155 (F5)

0.25u

Small to +155

Y.Kikuchi o1.5 BB-130

0.25u

L.Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases+110

0.5u

Preferred split for Robert who has struggled vs RHP (.197/.217/.346) compared to tearing LHP apart (.313/.353/.875) Kikuchi has been better but overperforming expected (5.04 xERA vs 3.80 ERA) with 11.7 barrel% and .502 xSLG

CWS +155

0.65u

Over 5.5 (F5)+100

0.4u

Over 9.5-120

$60.00

TOR -0.5 (F5)-132

0.76u

Over 5 (F5)-115

0.58u

Bet to -13

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Apr 26, 2023 UTC

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The Blue Jays are 13-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The White Sox are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .122.

The White Sox are just 9-50 (.153) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

The Blue Jays are 6-2 (.750) at home this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Alejandro Kirk has struck out in just 11% of PA's since last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Michael Kopech has a strikeout rate of just 15% vs right-handed batters since last season -- 10th lowest among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP-- eighth Percentile.

Matt Chapman has a miss rate of 44% on outside fastballs this season -- tied for 14th worst among hitters with at least 33 total PA's-- sixth Percentile. Michael Kopech has located his fastball away 50% of the time this season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has walked 53 of 430 right-handed batters (12%) since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.

Michael Kopech has allowed an OPS of 1.752 (24 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .768 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 25th	CWS	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 9	TOR -210
Apr 24th	CWS	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 9	TOR -159
Apr 23rd	@NYY	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	TOR -135
Apr 22nd	@NYY	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7	NYY +150
Apr 21st	@NYY	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TOR +115

Bo Bichette
IF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kopech, P	90	5	4	4
RJ.Lambert, P	37	1.2	2	3
RK.Middleton, P	6	0.1	1	0
RG.Santos, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E. Andrus, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Vaughn, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3L.Robert, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4E.Jimenez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Benintendi, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Burger, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7S.Zavala, C	0-2	0	0	0
8L.Sosa, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9R.Gonzalez, RF	1-2	0	0	0
9A. Haseley, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A. Haseley, RF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LY.Kikuchi, P	89	5.2	8
RE.Swanson, P	16	1.1	4
RY.Garcia, P	13	1	2
RT.Richards, P	16	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	0-1	1	0	0
1C.Biggio, PH	0-3	0	0	0
1C.Biggio, RF	0-3	0	0	0
1C.Biggio, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Bichette, SS	3-4	2	1	3
3V.Guerrero, 1B	2-5	1	0	2
4M.Chapman, 3B	1-2	1	0	0
4N.Lukes, RF	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, CF	0-2	1	0	0
6A.Kirk, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7W.Merrifield, LF	2-4	0	0	2
8D.Jansen, C	0-4	0	0	0
9S.Espinal, 2B	3-4	2	0	1
9S.Espinal, 3B	3-4	2	0	1