Mariners vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - June 18, 2024

Mariners at Guardians

10:40 pm • BSGL

Seattle Mariners

60-53

8 - 5

Cleveland Guardians

57-55

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5
B.Miller			2.95	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 60-53	+1.5-180	o9-117	+115
Guardians 57-55	-1.5+150	u9-102	-135

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

June 18, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

SEA +114

1.14u

SEA +106

1.06u

SEA +114

2.28u

CLE -125

1.25u

CLE -135

$1350.00

Over 8-118

0.85u

Miller is far worse on the road and McKenzie has been in bad form during his last four starts.

Featured Insight
Mariners RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters this season -- third highest in MLB. Guardians right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP this season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have allowed just 3.6 runs per game on the road this season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (40 games). The Mariners have scored just 3.8 runs per game at home this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (39 games).

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The Guardians are 8-9 (.471) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Mariners are 20-11 (.645) after a loss this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Guardians are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .892.

The Mariners are 18-9 (.667) after a home win this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .525.

David Fry is slugging .629 on sliders this season -- sixth best among hitters with at least 103 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Bryce Miller has allowed a SLG of .595 on sliders this season -- second worst among qualified SPs-- third Percentile.

Steven Kwan has a miss rate of only 6% on fastballs since last season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 66% of the time since last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (35/120) against Bryce Miller this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% -- third Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 21 of 147 right-handed batters (14%) this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (33/94) against Bryce Miller with runners in scoring position since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 31-25 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 28 of Guardians' 56 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	57-55	26-30	31-25	23-24	34-30
Mariners	46-67	22-34	24-33	24-50	21-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	50-58-4	28-27-1	22-31-3	25-22	25-35-4
Mariners	59-49-5	27-25-4	32-24-1	36-33-5	21-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	57-55	29-27	28-28	30-17	27-37
Mariners	60-53	31-25	29-28	39-35	19-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 16th	@TOR	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	TOR +100
Jun 15th	@TOR	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	TOR +105
Jun 14th	@TOR	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE +125
Jun 12th	@CIN	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8	CIN -105
Jun 11th	@CIN	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	CLE -105

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	92	5.2	2	2
RA.Voth, P	2	0.1	0	0
LT.Saucedo, P	22	0.2	1	1
RR.Stanek, P	4	0.1	1	0
RT.Thornton, P	12	0.1	0	1
RA.Munoz, P	22	1.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	2-3	1	1	3
2J.Rojas, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
3J.Rodriguez, CF	0-5	0	0	0
4C.Raleigh, C	1-5	1	0	1
5T.France, 1B	0-2	1	0	0
6L.Raley, LF	2-5	1	1	1
6V.Robles, LF	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Garver, DH	2-5	0	0	2
8D.Canzone, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Haniger, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Haniger, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Moore, 2B	2-4	3	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	59	2.1	0	4
LT.Herrin, P	29	1.2	2	1
RS.Barlow, P	18	1	2	1
RC.Smith, P	23	0.2	2	1
LS.Hentges, P	20	0.2	0	1
RP.Avila, P	31	1.2	2	0
RH.Gaddis, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-5	0	1
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-5	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-5	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	2	0
5D.Fry, DH	2-5	0	0
5D.Fry, C	2-5	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	3-5	1	1
7D.Schneemann, CF	1-3	0	1
7D.Schneemann, 2B	1-3	0	1
8B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	0-2	0	0
9J.Rodriguez, PH	0-0	1	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-0	0	0
9T.Freeman, PH	0-0	0	0
9T.Freeman, CF	0-0	0	0