Guardians vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2024

Guardians at Reds

11:10 pm • BSOH

Cleveland Guardians

24-17

5 - 3

Cincinnati Reds

20-22

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Suter			3.15	1-0
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 24-17	-1.5	-1.5+145	o9-113	-105
Reds 20-22	u9	+1.5-175	u9-106	-113

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

June 11, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

T.McKenzie o5.5 Ks+144

CLE -108

CLE -1.5+140

2.8u

CIN +110 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -118

CIN +106

0.5u

Bet to +100

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 33% against the Guardians RPs over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. Reds hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 31% over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Reds RPs since last season -- tied for second best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% since last season -- worst in MLB.

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The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Jeimer Candelario is batting just .235 since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting just .191 (80-for-418) against Triston McKenzie since the 2022 season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Brent Suter has an average fastball velocity of just 86.3 MPH this season -- 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.4 -- first Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.188 (19 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .352 -- first Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed an OPS of 1.399 (39 PA's) against right-handed batters over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .643 -- second Percentile.

Brent Suter has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since last season -- 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.7 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 12-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Reds' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	22-20	10-9	12-11	9-8	13-11
Guardians	19-22	10-10	9-12	8-7	11-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	18-23-1	8-10-1	10-13	5-11-1	12-12
Guardians	20-18-3	7-12-1	13-6-2	10-5	10-12-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	20-22	9-10	11-12	10-7	10-14
Guardians	24-17	13-7	11-10	12-3	12-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 9th	CHC	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 9	CHC +114
Jun 8th	CHC	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -125
Jun 7th	CHC	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -137
Jun 6th	CHC	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -130
Jun 5th	@COL	W 12-7	-1.5 W	O 12	CIN -148

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
P
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
Lane Thomas
OF
Thomas is out with wrist
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Jake Fraley
OF
Fraley is out with calf
Out
Noelvi Marte
IF
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	75	5.1	4	2
LT.Herrin, P	14	0.2	1	0
LS.Hentges, P	19	1.1	3	0
RC.Smith, P	10	0.2	1	0
RE.Clase, P	22	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	3-4	1	0	2
2T.Freeman, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-5	1	1	3
5D.Fry, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7K.Manzardo, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Arias, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7G.Arias, DH	0-1	0	0	0
7D.Schneemann, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7D.Schneemann, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	1	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	2-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Suter, P	15	1	0	0
RN.Martinez, P	39	1.2	2	3
LS.Moll, P	22	1.1	1	0
RL.Sims, P	14	1.1	0	0
LJ.Wilson, P	18	1	2	0
RF.Cruz, P	17	0.2	1	1
RB.Farmer, P	27	2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-5	1	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-3	1	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	0	1
4S.Steer, 1B	1-4	0	1
5J.Fraley, RF	1-2	0	0
5S.Fairchild, PH	1-1	1	0
5S.Fairchild, RF	1-1	1	0
6T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0
7J.Hurtubise, DH	0-1	0	0
7S.Espinal, PH	0-2	0	0
7S.Espinal, DH	0-2	0	0
8J.India, 2B	1-4	0	1
9W.Benson, LF	0-2	0	0
9B.Dunn, PH	0-1	0	0
9B.Dunn, LF	0-1	0	0