Marlins vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2024

Marlins at Cubs

6:20 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

4-1

3 - 2

Chicago Cubs

2-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Assad			3.74	7-6
J.Luzardo			5.00	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 4-1	+1.5	+1.5-178	o8-112	+120
Cubs 2-3	u8.5	-1.5+148	u8-108	-141

Saturday 6:20 p.m.

April 20, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

CHC -133

Under 8-106

0.94u

CHC -122 (F5)

Luzardo 11.4 BB%, 15.8% Barrels/BBE, 98 Stuff+. Assad 20.3 K-BB%, 27.5 Hard%. CHC 142 Hm wRC+/162 (18.1 K%, 15.8 HR/FB) v LHP, MIA 64 Rd/85 v RHP - MIA def maybe worst MLB (-10 Runs Prevented already)

CHC -132

MIA +1-130

1.54u

CHC -120 (F5)

0.5u

CHC -142

0.71u

J.Assad u17.5 Outs+110

Over 8-110

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Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 5.6 runs per game this season -- fourth highest in MLB (18 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.5 runs per game this season -- third highest in MLB (19 games).

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Saturday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 20, 2024 UTC

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The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Cody Bellinger had an OPS of .881 last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Bryan Hoeing allowed an OPS of .826 (304 PAs) last season -- 14th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (9/41) against Shota Imanaga this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A
Marlins	1-4	1-4	N/A	1-4	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A
Marlins	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A
Marlins	4-1	4-1	N/A	4-1	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 19th	MIA	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CHC -170
Apr 17th	@ARI	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +110
Apr 17th	@ARI	L 11-12	+1.5 W	O 10	ARI +100
Apr 16th	@ARI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +130
Apr 14th	@SEA	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7	CHC +120

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out
Seiya Suzuki
RF
Suzuki is out with knee
Out

Esteury Ruiz
LF
Ruiz is out with oblique
Out
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with hamstring
Out
Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Christopher Morel
LF
Christopher Morel (left oblique) scratched Friday.
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	104	6	6	2
RC.Faucher, P	37	2	4	0
LT.Scott, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	3-5	1	0	0
1L.Arraez, 1B	3-5	1	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	1-3	1	1	3
3J.Chisholm, CF	0-5	0	0	0
4J.Bell, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4O.Lopez, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	2-4	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, LF	2-4	0	0	0
7E.Rivera, 3B	0-1	1	0	0
8V.Brujan, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Anderson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Pereda, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	87	4.2	3	1
LL.Little, P	14	1	1	0
RY.Almonte, P	17	1.1	1	0
RM.Leiter, P	13	0.2	1	0
RA.Alzolay, P	17	1.1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	2-5	1	0
2P.Wisdom, RF	1-4	0	2
3C.Morel, DH	0-3	0	0
4D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0
5G.Cooper, 1B	0-3	0	0
6M.Tauchman, CF	1-4	0	0
7N.Madrigal, 3B	1-4	0	0
8M.Amaya, C	1-3	0	0
9A.Canario, LF	1-4	1	0