Marlins vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - June 13, 2023

The Marlins defense can ligma

Great matchup for Luzardo who does an excellent job of getting hitters to swing and miss on pitches outside of the zone, usually with his devastating slider. The Mariners are bottom 3 in o-contact% and runs created against sliders. Bryce Miller has pitched way better than his 4.46 ERA would indicate and he’s been screwed by a 58% LOB% rate. He leans heavily on his fastball and Mia ranks bottom 10 in runs created against FBs. He should go ~5 innings and then give way to an excellent bullpen.

Most negative run environment MLB (roof open or closed) w/ pitcher leaning ump - Miller's estimators have hit 4 after his last two, but Luzardo is at 3.5 with a 2.5 SIERA over the last month - both teams below 100 wRC+ v L/RHP - SEA def 9 Runs Prevented (t2nd) - both pens top half of MLB estimators L30 days (MIA 2nd)