Marlins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 8, 2023

Marlins at Mets

8:10 pm • SNY

Miami Marlins

5-2

2 - 5

New York Mets

4-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Senga			2.98	12-7
T.Rogers			4.00	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 5-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Mets 4-4	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 08, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

K.Senga o5.5 Ks-128

0.78u

NYM -1-120

MIA u3.5-136

MIA +150

0.25u

Small to +148

NYM -1.5+140

0.7u

K.Senga o5.5 Ks-143

0.7u

NYM -145

$34.48

This is Senga belief first and foremost

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 8, 2023 UTC

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The Mets are just 11-28 (.282) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Mets are 44-12 (.786) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

The Marlins are just 9-14 (.391) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Pete Alonso hit 6 home runs on changeups last season -- tied for seventh most in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Trevor Rogers threw his changeup 29% of the time last season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 27% (17/62) against Kodai Senga in non-two strike counts this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 50% (8/16) against Kodai Senga this season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of just 15% (7/47) against Trevor Rogers on curveballs in 2022 -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 2-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mets' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	4-4	2-1	2-3	4-4	N/A
Marlins	2-5	2-4	0-1	2-4	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	3-5	1-2	2-3	3-5	N/A
Marlins	4-3	3-3	1-0	3-3	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	4-4	2-1	2-3	4-4	N/A
Marlins	5-2	5-1	0-1	5-1	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 7th	MIA	W 9-3	-	-	-
Apr 5th	@MIL	L 6-7	-	-	-
Apr 4th	@MIL	L 0-9	-	-	-
Apr 3rd	@MIL	L 0-10	-	-	-
Apr 2nd	@MIA	W 5-1	-	-	-

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable

Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

Esteury Ruiz
LF
Ruiz is out with oblique
Out
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with hamstring
Out
Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Christopher Morel
LF
Christopher Morel (left oblique) scratched Friday.
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	92	4.2	5	3
RH.Brazoban, P	17	0.2	1	2
LA.Nardi, P	20	0.2	0	0
RM.Barnes, P	14	1	1	0
RJ.Chargois, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-5	1	1	1
2G.Cooper, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
3L.Arraez, 2B	2-3	0	0	1
4J.Soler, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5J. Segura, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6A.Garcia, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7B.De La Cruz, LF	0-3	1	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Berti, SS	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P	90	6	6	1
RD.Smith, P	19	0.1	0	1
LB.Raley, P	15	0.1	0	0
RJ.Curtiss, P	13	1.1	0	0
RD.Robertson, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-4	1	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, DH	1-3	1	1	2
5M.Canha, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	1	0	1
7T.Pham, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8E. Escobar, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
9T.Nido, C	1-4	0	0	0