Mets vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - September 30, 2022

Mets at Braves

11:20 pm • MLB Network

New York Mets

7-6

2 - 5

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Fried			2.48	14-7
J.deGrom			3.08	5-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5+152	o6.5-110	-125
Braves 0-2	+1.5-177	u6.5-108	+105

Friday 11:20 p.m.

September 30, 2022

Truist ParkAtlanta

ATL +110

1.1u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)+100

0.1u

DK boost

NYM -133

1.33u

ATL +0.5 (F5)-125

0.4u

Wynn. Bet to -140

M. Fried o17.5 Pitching Outs-115

1.15u

DraftKings. Over this line in 12/L14 home starts (excl the rain delayed game vs MIA), and 3/4 vs NYM. He’s a big game pitcher, and I give him the edge in what should be a playoff-type atmosphere tonight.

F. Álvarez o0.5 Hits-135

0.2u

ATL +120 (F5)

0.6u

Wynn. Bet to +108

ATL +110

0.55u

DK. Bet to +100

Our Best Bets From Friday's MLB Slate
Action Network Staff•
Sep 30, 2022 UTC
Mets vs. Braves: Battle of Aces With NL East On The Line
Nick Shlain•
Sep 30, 2022 UTC

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The Braves are 107-82 (.566) on the road since the 2020 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

Francisco Lindor is slugging .740 on inside fastballs this season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Max Fried has located his fastball inside 47% of the time this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (176 balls in play) -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

17 of Max Fried's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- 4th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 92nd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 28th	@WSH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -215
Sep 27th	@WSH	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -210
Sep 26th	@WSH	W 8-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -250
Sep 25th	@PHI	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ATL -142
Sep 24th	@PHI	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	ATL -125

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.deGrom, P	86	6	11	3
RT.Megill, P	19	0.2	0	2
RT. May, P	6	0.1	1	0
LJ.Rodriguez, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Canha, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5J.McNeil, RF	2-4	1	0	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
6E. Escobar, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, 2B	1-2	0	0	1
8M.Vientos, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8T. Naquin, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	1-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	71	5	3	1
RC. McHugh, P	11	1	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	13	1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	21	1	1	1
RK.Jansen, P	24	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	1-4	1	1	1
3M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
5M.Olson, 1B	2-3	2	1	1
6T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	1	0	0
7W.Contreras, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Rosario, LF	0-2	0	0	1
8G. Heredia, LF	0-0	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, 2B	2-3	0	0	1