Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2024

Mets at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • SNY

New York Mets

21-28

5 - 8

Arizona Diamondbacks

25-23

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Rodriguez			5.04	3-4
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 21-28	+1.5	+1.5-191	o9-105	+105
Diamondbacks 25-23	u8.5	-1.5+160	u9-115	-125

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

August 29, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

L.Severino u17.5 Outs-120

0.83u

ARI -120

L.Severino o1.5 BB-160

MGM

J.Martinez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

Featured Insight
Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of 41% this season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 40% against the Diamondbacks RPs this season -- tied for fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have answered-back in 43% of innings after an opponent scores this month -- second highest in MLB. Mets have allowed a run 44% of the time after an opposing score this month -- second highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 28, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

32% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr. strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 48% of Luis Severino's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

31% of Corbin Carroll strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 36% of Adam Ottavino strikeouts are looking since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 14-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Diamondbacks' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	29-18	15-8	14-10	12-7	16-11
Mets	20-28	9-15	11-13	14-21	6-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	24-21-2	10-12-1	14-9-1	8-10-1	15-11-1
Mets	20-25-3	12-9-3	8-16	16-17-2	4-8-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	24-23	14-9	10-14	12-7	11-16
Mets	21-27	11-13	10-14	16-19	5-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 28th	NYM	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8	NYM -110
Aug 25th	@BOS	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 9	ARI +110
Aug 24th	@BOS	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI +114
Aug 23rd	@BOS	W 12-2	+1.5 W	O 9.5	ARI +106
Aug 21st	@MIA	W 10-8	-1.5 W	O 9	ARI -170

Corbin Burnes
P
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
P
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
IF
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
P
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Francisco Lindor
IF
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Tylor Megill
P
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
P
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	100	4.2	9	4
RH.Brazoban, P	13	1	0	0
LD.Young, P	9	0.2	0	0
RR.Garrett, P	4	0.2	1	0
RP.Maton, P	11	0.2	1	1
RE.Diaz, P	21	0.1	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3S.Marte, RF	2-4	1	0	0
3T.Taylor, RF	-
4B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	1	0	0
5P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
6J.Martinez, DH	1-3	1	0	1
7J.Iglesias, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	1-3	1	0	1
9H.Bader, CF	1-3	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LE.Rodriguez, P	89	5.1	5	5
RK.Ginkel, P	23	1.2	2	0
RR.Thompson, P	14	1	1	0
RJ.Martinez, P	1	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	2-5	2	2	5
2J.McCarthy, CF	1-5	1	0	0
3J.Pederson, DH	1-3	1	1	2
4J.Bell, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4K.Newman, 2B	-
5L.Gurriel, LF	1-2	2	0	0
6A.Del Castillo, C	2-4	0	0	0
7E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
8P.Smith, PH	0-0	1	0	0
8P.Smith, 1B	0-0	1	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	0-2	1	0	0