Mets vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 20, 2024

Mets at Guardians

10:10 pm • SNY

New York Mets

8-9

1 - 3

Cleveland Guardians

7-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Lively			3.82	13-10
T.Megill			4.04	4-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 8-9	+1.5-192	o9-105	+105
Guardians 7-11	-1.5+160	u9-115	-125

Monday 10:10 p.m.

May 20, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

NYM +100 (F5)

NYM +110

B.Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases+110

Projection leans to the over and a value bet

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 34% against the Mets RPs this season -- second best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 35% this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Guardians RPs have allowed an OPS of just .539 (174 PAs) over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. Mets hitters have an OPS of just .638 over the last two weeks -- second worst in MLB.

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The Mets are just 3-86 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Brett Baty has an OPS of just .605 since the 2022 season -- 14th worst among hitters with at least 549 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Sam Hentges has allowed an OPS of just .568 (483 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (59/189) against Ben Lively since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- first Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .475 (120 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .326 -- 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Ben Lively over the last 14 days -- highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .249 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 19th	MIN	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -116
May 18th	MIN	W 11-4	+1.5 W	O 7	CLE +102
May 17th	MIN	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -130
May 16th	@TEX	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +160
May 15th	@TEX	W 7-4	-	O 9	CLE +101

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P	86	5	7	2
LJ.Walker, P	21	2	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5T.Taylor, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6B.Baty, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	1-3	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	1-2	1	1	1
9D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	88	5.2	7	1
RN.Sandlin, P	7	0.1	1	0
RS.Barlow, P	10	1	1	0
RC.Smith, P	14	1	2	0
RE.Clase, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Freeman, CF	0-4	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-3	1	0
5D.Fry, LF	1-2	1	2
6W.Brennan, RF	0-2	0	0
7K.Manzardo, DH	1-3	0	1
8B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0