Mets vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 1, 2023
Mets at Marlins
8:10 pm • BSFLStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 4.24 | 7-7 | |
 |  | 4.70 | 9-8 |
Mets at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets 7-6 | -1.5+151 | o8.5-105 | -107 | |
Marlins 0-0 | +1.5-182 | u8.5-110 | -114 | |
loanDepot parkMiami
Mets vs. Marlins Expert Picks
Collin Wilson
592d ago
Last 30d: 64-52-0 (+4.5u)
Over 8-110
1.1u
Gilles Gallant
592d ago
Last 30d: 41-91-1 (-7.2u)
P.Alonso o0.5 HR+575
0.1u
Bet at Bet365. Doing 6 HR bets for 0.1U each.
Tanner McGrath
592d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-4 (-11.5u)
Under 8+100
0.5u
Sean Zerillo
592d ago
Last 30d: 48-68-3 (-7.7u)
Under 8+100
0.25u
Bet to -105. Market mostly at -110, so staking it small
Markus Markets
592d ago
Last 30d: 71-78-2 (+15.3u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130
0.38u
Tanner McGrath
593d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-4 (-11.5u)
MIA +104 (F5)
0.5u
#Fish
MIA +110
0.5u
#Fish
Sean Zerillo
593d ago
Last 30d: 48-68-3 (-7.7u)
MIA +106 (F5)
0.5u
Bet to +105
Shady Biev
593d ago
Last 30d: 177-204-3 (-27.2u)
MIA +105
1u
Sean Zerillo
593d ago
Last 30d: 48-68-3 (-7.7u)
MIA +110
0.5u
Bet to +102
Mets vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Mets vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Marlins are just 115-75 (.605) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Mets were 38-28 (.576) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Marlins are just 22-67 (.247) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season -- 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Mets were 89-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Matchup Contrasts
Francisco Lindor hit 8 home runs on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- tied for eighth most in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Sandy Alcantara had an average fastball velocity of 97.9 MPH last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.
37% of Luis Guillorme strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- second highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 38% of Sandy Alcantara's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Edward Cabrera allowed a BABIP of .207 in 2022 -- tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .289 -- 100th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Mets vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Marlins vs. Mets Injury Updates
Marlins Injuries
- Sandy AlcantaraP
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Jesus LuzardoP
Luzardo is out with back
Out
- Max MeyerP
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Mets Injuries
- Paul BlackburnP
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
- Ronny MauricioIF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
- Christian ScottP
Scott is out with elbow
Out
Mets vs. Marlins Box Score
Mets Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 93 | 5 | 7 | 2 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 14 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 6 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Marlins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 85 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |
 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mets vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Mets at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Mets 7-6 | N/A | N/A |
Marlins 0-0 | N/A | N/A |