Mets vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 18, 2024

Mets at Marlins

8:10 pm • WPIX

New York Mets

7-6

9 - 10

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Garrett			5.35	2-2
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5+140	o7.5-108	-125
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-166	u7.5-112	+105

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

May 18, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

Over 7.5+100

... warm days wind blowing out Overall: 176-119-18,60% (ROI:15%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:94%) … windy overs Overall: 650-474-53,58% (ROI:11%) Season:8-4-1,67% (ROI:26%)

Over 7.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -102

Featured Insight
The Mets have allowed just 3.8 runs per game at home since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB (185 games). The Marlins have scored just 3.7 runs per game on the road since the 2022 season -- third lowest in MLB (183 games).

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The Mets are just 3-86 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Jake Burger is batting just .150 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 10th worst among hitters with at least 61 total PA's-- sixth Percentile. Luis Severino has a strike rate of 69% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Jeff McNeil has an OPS of just .691 since last season -- 13th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .542 (391 PAs) since last season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (20/126) against Luis Severino this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 98th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (574/1,198) with two-strikes since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino has walked 13 of 103 right-handed batters (13%) this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- fourth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 17th	NYM	W 8-0	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIA +105
May 15th	@DET	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +140
May 14th	@DET	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA +154
May 13th	@DET	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 9	DET +141
May 12th	PHI	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 7	MIA +170

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	95	6.2	3	5
RR.Garrett, P	7	0.1	0	0
RA.Ottavino, P	6	1	1	0
RE.Diaz, P	15	0.1	0	4
LJ.Diekman, P	12	0.2	2	0
RJ.Lopez, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-5	1	1
2P.Alonso, 1B	2-6	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	3	0
3D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	2-5	0	2
4T.Taylor, PR	0-1	1	0
4T.Taylor, LF	0-1	1	0
5M.Vientos, 3B	2-4	1	1
6S.Marte, RF	3-4	1	1
7H.Bader, CF	1-5	1	2
8J.McNeil, 2B	2-4	1	2
9T.Nido, C	2-5	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Garrett, P	90	4.1	5	6
RD.Cronin, P	22	1.2	0	1
RA.Maldonado, P	25	2	0	0
RC.Faucher, P	29	0.2	1	2
LA.Nardi, P	11	0.1	0	0
LT.Scott, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	3-5	3	1	3
2B.De La Cruz, DH	2-5	1	0	0
3J.Bell, 1B	3-5	1	1	4
4J.Sanchez, RF	0-4	1	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
5C.Bethancourt, C	0-0	1	0	0
6N.Gordon, LF	2-4	1	0	1
7O.Lopez, 2B	2-5	1	0	2
8V.Brujan, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, 3B	0-1	0	0	0