Mets vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - June 9, 2024

Mets at Phillies

2:10 pm • ESPN

New York Mets

7-6

6 - 5

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Walker			7.10	3-7
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	+1.5-150	o11.5-115	+120
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+125	u11.5-105	-143

Sunday 2:10 p.m.

June 09, 2024

London StadiumLondon

Over 11.5-104

$52.00

Under 11-105

E.Sosa o1.5 Total Bases+120

1.2u

Trae who?

E.Sosa o2.5 Total Bases+175

0.5u

Best backup shortstop in baseball read about it

E.Sosa o3.5 Total Bases+300

0.25u

Sosa + lefties = atomic piss missle

A.Bohm o2.5 Total Bases+155

0.5u

Dude has a ceaser salad on his dome piece

A.Bohm o3.5 Total Bases+260

0.25u

10 am baseball should be more common

A.Bohm o1.5 Total Bases-109

Twerk that thang Alec

T.Walker u3.5 Earned Runs-130

0.77u

4 & 5 in L2 starts - London Walker

E.Sosa o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

Run it back (even though we admittedly got a little lucky on Saturday). Another solid matchup vs a lefty starter. Sosa is now 18/26 on this line since Turner went down.

Over 10.5-106

0.25u

Only book in range. Small to -112

Over 5.5 (F5)-115

0.29u

Small to -13

PHI -1.5+130

0.5u

Rolling out of bed for a Mets disasterclass

PHI -142

BBQ chips and baked beans in a styrofoam cup

Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Phillies right-handed hitters have struck out 26% against LHP over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Phillies have scored 5.1 runs per game this season -- second highest in MLB (63 games). The Mets have allowed 4.9 runs per game this season -- fifth highest in MLB (62 games).

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Our MLB Best Bets for Sunday
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Jun 9, 2024 UTC
Mets vs. Phillies: Bet the Total in London
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Kyle Schwarber is batting just .148 on breaking pitches from LHP since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Jose Quintana has thrown his curveball 27% of the time since the 2022 season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 154 total CB-- 89th Percentile.

39% of Alec Bohm strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 33% of Jose Quintana strikeouts are looking this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (500/849) against right-handed batters this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 149 of Taijuan Walker's 752 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 32% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .415 (17 GB hits out of 41 GBs) against Taijuan Walker this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .239 -- 0 Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (401/813) when ahead in the count since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

The Mets are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

The Mets are just 17-10 (.630) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Phillies are 44-17 (.721) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Phillies are 15-4 (.789) after a loss this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 8th	@NYM	W 7-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	PHI -167
Jun 5th	MIL	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	PHI -171
Jun 4th	MIL	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 9	PHI -157
Jun 3rd	MIL	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8	PHI -199
Jun 2nd	STL	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	STL -141

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	69	3.2	1	3
LD.Young, P	14	0.2	2	0
RD.Nunez, P	27	1.2	0	1
LJ.Diekman, P	16	0.2	1	0
RR.Garrett, P	27	1.2	2	1
RD.Smith, P	10	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-5	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	1	1
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	1	1
4J.Martinez, DH	1-5	0	2
5D.Stewart, RF	0-2	0	0
5H.Bader, PH	0-1	0	0
5H.Bader, CF	0-1	0	0
6T.Taylor, CF	0-3	1	0
6T.Taylor, RF	0-3	1	0
7J.McNeil, 2B	2-4	1	0
8B.Baty, 3B	1-2	0	0
8M.Vientos, PH	1-1	0	1
8M.Vientos, 3B	1-1	0	1
8J.Iglesias, PR	0-0	1	0
8J.Iglesias, 3B	0-0	1	0
9L.Torrens, C	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	79	5.2	6	2
LG.Soto, P	12	0	0	1
LM.Strahm, P	29	1	1	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	11	1.1	1	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	35	0.2	2	2
RJ.Ruiz, P	3	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	2-4	1	0	0
2J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0	0
2G.Stubbs, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
5N.Castellanos, RF	1-5	1	0	0
6E.Sosa, SS	1-3	1	0	1
7W.Merrifield, LF	1-4	0	0	1
8W.Wilson, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Stott, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Stott, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-2	0	0	0
9D.Dahl, PH	1-1	1	1	1
9C.Pache, CF	1-1	1	0	0