Mets vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - May 9, 2023

Mets at Reds

10:40 pm • BSOH

New York Mets

8-11

6 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

9-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Weaver			3.38	1-1
D.Peterson			5.03	3-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 8-11	-1.5-111	o10.5-120	-167
Reds 9-12	+1.5-108	u10.5-105	+139

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

May 09, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Over 10-115

NYM o5.5-125

0.8u

Don’t overthink it play

CIN o3.5-130

CIN o3.5-140

not sure how this number is still holding up

CIN +184

0.92u

CIN o3.5-122

0.5u

M.Scherzer u6.5 Ks-115

1.15u

He’s under this line in 4/4 full starts, seeing a dip in his velocity pretty much across the board compared to last season. I’m not sold that he’s fully healthy amid all of the talk about his back/scapula, and the Mets have a back-up starter just in case. So if he does go, he’s going to be monitored closely. And the Reds have the 5th lowest K% vs RHP over the L14 days (19.4%, 280+ PA).

Over 10-111

Over 5 (F5)-110

0.5u

Bet to -130. Rivers has 4.5 (-140) which is an ever larger edge. 5.5 ok to +105

L.Weaver o4.5 Ks-106

$100.00

Over 9.5-104

0.5u

MGM has +100. Bet to -114

CIN +190

0.95u

Bet to +180

Over 9-120

Project 10.3; Both Scherzer Weaver torched in ERA-FIP. Mets low K rate v right hand pitching, bullpen FIP 4.2

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The Reds are 11-2 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	CWS	L 4-17	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CWS -125
May 6th	CWS	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9.5	CIN -138
May 5th	CWS	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CWS -118
May 3rd	@SD	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8.5	SD +210
May 3rd	@SD	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN +165

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	87	3.1	4	4
RS. Nogosek, P	41	1.2	2	3
RJ. Brigham, P	16	1	2	0
RA.Ottavino, P	12	1	0	0
RD.Smith, P	26	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-4	1	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	2-5	1	1	2
3J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.McNeil, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
5B.Baty, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
6S.Marte, RF	2-4	0	0	0
7D.Vogelbach, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Canha, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	2-4	2	2	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Weaver, P	82	6	2	4
RD.Law, P	17	1	0	0
LA.Young, P	11	0.1	0	2
RL.Sims, P	13	0.1	0	0
RA.Diaz, P	23	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-3	0	3
2N.Senzel, 3B	2-5	1	1
3S.Steer, 1B	0-2	0	0
3C.Casali, C	0-0	0	0
4T.Stephenson, DH	1-4	0	1
5S.Fairchild, LF	1-4	0	0
6W. Myers, RF	1-4	1	0
6W. Myers, 1B	1-4	1	0
7K.Newman, SS	1-3	2	0
8T.Friedl, CF	2-4	2	2
9L.Maile, C	1-2	1	0
9J.Fraley, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Fraley, RF	0-1	0	0