Reds vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2023

Reds at Padres

8:10 pm • BSSD

Cincinnati Reds

9-12

1 - 7

San Diego Padres

7-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7
L. Cessa			9.00	1-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 9-12	+1.5+105	o8.5-120	+210
Padres 7-14	-1.5-125	u8.5-105	-257

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

May 03, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 9-122

1.23u

Under 9-120

J.Soto o1.5 Total Bases+130

1.3u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
May 3, 2023 UTC

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The Padres are 6-1 (.857) when they've had 10 or more hits this season -- tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .738.

The Padres are 21-31 (.404) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.

Manny Machado is batting .296 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- seventh best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Luis Cessa has thrown his slider 39% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 75 total SL-- 94th Percentile.

Manny Machado has an OPS of .853 since last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Luis Cessa has allowed an OPS of .833 (447 PAs) since last season -- 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (42/232) against Seth Lugo this season -- 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- eighth Percentile.

Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 48% of the time (124/257) vs left-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	CIN	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -200
May 2nd	CIN	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SD -210
Apr 30th	SF	W 6-4	-1.5 W	U 19.5	SD -152
Apr 29th	SF	W 16-11	-1.5 W	O 15.5	SD -199
Apr 27th	@CHC	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -174

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL. Cessa, P	71	3.1	2	3
LA.Young, P	15	0.2	0	1
RB.Farmer, P	21	1.1	0	0
LR. Sanmartin, P	9	0.1	0	2
RC.Legumina, P	33	0.2	1	1
RD.Law, P	16	0.2	1	0
RI.Gibaut, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	2-4	0	0	0
2T.Friedl, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3S.Steer, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4T.Stephenson, C	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Senzel, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Newman, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9J. Barrero, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	97	6	5	1
RB.Honeywell, P	25	1	0	0
LT.Hill, P	5	1	0	0
LT.Cosgrove, P	18	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Grisham, CF	3-5	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-4	1	0	0
3J.Soto, LF	1-2	0	0	3
4X.Bogaerts, SS	0-5	0	0	0
5M.Carpenter, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
7H.Kim, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
8R. Odor, 2B	1-3	2	0	0
9B.Sullivan, C	2-4	1	1	4