Reds vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2023

Reds at Padres

8:10 pm • BSSD

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

1 - 7

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7
L. Cessa			9.00	1-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5+105	o8.5-120	+210
Padres 4-3	-1.5-125	u8.5-105	-257

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

May 03, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 9-122

1.23u

J.Soto o1.5 Total Bases+130

1.3u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
May 3, 2023 UTC

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The Padres are 6-1 (.857) when they've had 10 or more hits this season -- tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .738.

The Padres are 21-31 (.404) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.

Manny Machado is batting .296 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- seventh best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Luis Cessa has thrown his slider 39% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 75 total SL-- 94th Percentile.

Manny Machado has an OPS of .853 since last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Luis Cessa has allowed an OPS of .833 (447 PAs) since last season -- 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (42/232) against Seth Lugo this season -- 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- eighth Percentile.

Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 48% of the time (124/257) vs left-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	CIN	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -200
May 2nd	CIN	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SD -210
Apr 30th	SF	W 6-4	-1.5 W	U 19.5	SD -152
Apr 29th	SF	W 16-11	-1.5 W	O 15.5	SD -199
Apr 27th	@CHC	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -174

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL. Cessa, P	71	3.1	2	3
LA.Young, P	15	0.2	0	1
RB.Farmer, P	21	1.1	0	0
LR. Sanmartin, P	9	0.1	0	2
RC.Legumina, P	33	0.2	1	1
RD.Law, P	16	0.2	1	0
RI.Gibaut, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	2-4	0	0	0
2T.Friedl, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3S.Steer, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4T.Stephenson, C	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Senzel, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Newman, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9J. Barrero, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	97	6	5	1
RB.Honeywell, P	25	1	0	0
LT.Hill, P	5	1	0	0
LT.Cosgrove, P	18	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Grisham, CF	3-5	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-4	1	0	0
3J.Soto, LF	1-2	0	0	3
4X.Bogaerts, SS	0-5	0	0	0
5M.Carpenter, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
7H.Kim, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
8R. Odor, 2B	1-3	2	0	0
9B.Sullivan, C	2-4	1	1	4