Orioles vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2023

Orioles at Braves

11:15 pm • FOX

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

4 - 5

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Strider			3.86	20-5
K.Bradish			2.83	12-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-2	+1.5+107	o8.5-102	+212
Braves 0-2	-1.5-130	u8.5-120	-265

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 06, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

S.Strider u18.5 Outs-145

MGM. This orioles team just works the count - 7th in pitches per PA, and the third highest walk rate. Strider, by virtue of being really hard to hit, still is under this line in 5/6 starts (and with an unsustainable strike rate of 70%). It’s juicy, but I have fair odds here more at -190. Comfortable up to -160.

BAL +220

0.25u

Small to +210

Under 4.5 (F5)-125

1.2u

-115

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to 8 (-107)

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

0.6u

Bet to -125

The MLB Best Bet Catching 4/5 PRO Signals
Alex Kolodziej•
May 6, 2023 UTC
Saturday NRFI Picks: Back Drew Rasmussen & Spencer Strider
Shayne Trail•
May 6, 2023 UTC

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The Braves are 6-3 (.667) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

The Braves are just 7-8 (.467) at home this season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Orioles are 4-3 (.571) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Adam Frazier had an OPS of just .619 last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Max Fried allowed an OPS of just .581 (733 PAs) last season -- 14th best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has not struck out any hitters in 16 PA's in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- second Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 56% (15 SO in 27 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 41% (57 SO in 139 PAs) this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	BAL	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -222
May 4th	@MIA	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -105
May 3rd	@MIA	W 14-6	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -145
May 2nd	@MIA	W 6-0	+1.5 W	U 8	ATL +101
May 1st	@NYM	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9	NYM -107

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Bradish, P	86	5	4	3
LC.Perez, P	16	1.1	1	0
RB.Baker, P	19	1	0	1
LD.Coulombe, P	14	0.2	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	1-4	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	0-3	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, DH	2-4	2	0
4A.Santander, RF	2-4	2	1
5G.Henderson, 3B	0-4	0	0
6A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	0	3
7J.Mateo, SS	1-4	0	0
8K.Stowers, LF	0-2	0	0
8R.McKenna, PH	1-2	0	0
8R.McKenna, LF	1-2	0	0
9R.Urias, 1B	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Strider, P	95	5	10	2
RN.Anderson, P	19	1	0	1
LD.Lee, P	20	1	2	0
LA.Minter, P	17	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	0	0	1
2M.Olson, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4S.Murphy, C	0-3	0	0	0
5E.Rosario, LF	1-3	0	0	1
5K.Pillar, PH	1-1	1	1	2
5K.Pillar, LF	1-1	1	1	2
6O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	1	1
8M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9V.Grissom, SS	2-3	1	0	0
9B.Shewmake, SS	0-0	0	0	0