Orioles vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - July 23, 2025

🔑 Orioles ML +110 (FanDuel) 2u Sharp fade angle: 78% of bets & 82% of ML money showing on Guardians, yet line movement has held steady and even ticked toward Baltimore in spots – a classic sign of sharp money backing the O’s. Pitching edge: Zach Eflin’s overall ERA (5.95) hides the fact that he’s posted a much stronger 3.41 ERA over his last 3 starts. Baltimore’s lineup has been heating up with Gunnar Henderson and Ryan O’Hearn combining for 4 HRs over the last week. Contrarian underdog with recent offensive surge and positive steam signals.

95% of the money is on the Over…. We have some beautiful systems that aline to help us fade the public here Bad Teams Won Last Game and Game 3 56-15-2 (78.87%) 49.19% ROI 42-11 (79.2%) in 2025 Orioles Road Dog Series Closer 49-24-6 (67.1%) 26.01% ROI 13-3 (81.2%) in 2025 Guardians Home Under’s After Win After ASB 72-37-3 (66.1%) 25.41% ROI

Increased strikeout rate this year is paired with an increase in his swinging-strike rate, and the sample is up to 11 starts. Buying in enough to see value in the over.

Eflin is on the mound for the Orioles, and he has struggled vs lefties, which is a problem for him with this CLE lineup stacked with lefties. The CLE offense has come alive since the All-Star break, scoring 40 runs in their last 5 games. They are 4-1 since the break and have taken the first 2 games of this series, scoring 16 runs. Efflin's last 3 starts, the Orioles have lost by a combined 27-4. In those 3 games, he gave up 7,6,4 earned runs and allowed 12,10, and 5 hits. AKA, he is trash. Break out the brooms in Cleveland.