Orioles vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Orioles at Rangers

6:05 pm • BSSW

Baltimore Orioles

3-3

2 - 5

Texas Rangers

4-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Rangers 4-2	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 6:05 p.m.

April 05, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

G. Rodriguez o4.5 Ks-116

The top MLB pitching prospect in baseball is making his debut here. While Rodriguez struggled in spring training the Ks were there and his stuff is filthy. Even if he ends up on a strict pitch count in the 70-75 range I still think he clears this. I’m projecting a 30%+ K rate for the 3-7 & 9 hitters in his first time through the lineup and a ~53% chance he will have 3 Ks after getting through the lineup once. I’m projecting this closer to 5.5 and a fair price of -165 for over 4.5

Under 3.5 (F5)+118

DeGrom SIERA/xFIP G1 under 2.00 - HR on tough pitch + some poor batted ball luck - did drop in velo a bit towards end, but that could be a buildup thing - also hear this Grayson kid pretty good - roof closed

BAL +174

0.5u

add just bc the price

Under 4 (F5)-120

$1.20

G. Rodriguez o4.5 Ks-110

0.32u

He’s one of the best pitching prospects in baseball with multiple plus pitches. He struggled a bit in Spring Training but last season with Norfolk he logged: 2.20 ERA, 97 Ks in 69.2 innings (14 starts) Stud.

G. Rodriguez o5.5 Ks+210

0.15u

BAL +175 (F5)

0.15u

BAL +175 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +170

BAL +1.5-140

$1.00

BAL +155

0.25u

Under 4 (F5)-115

J.deGrom o8.5 Ks-115

0.43u

BAL +1.5-137

1.37u

BAL +170

AL ROTY quest begins

Under 4.5 (F5)-125

$60.00

BAL +176

0.5u

Bet to +146. Can increase sizing or add spread. Waiting on F5 Grayson. Has. Arrived.

BAL +1.5-126

0.63u

Bet to -145

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The Orioles are 65-4 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Orioles are 67-69 (.493) when underdogs since the 2022 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Rangers are just 31-30 (.508) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Jorge Mateo had an OPS of just .646 last season -- ninth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Jacob deGrom allowed an OPS of just .537 (264 PAs) last season -- fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

64% of Jorge Mateo fastball strikeouts were located away last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 64% of Jacob deGrom fastball strikeouts were located away last season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .085 (32-for-378) against Jacob deGrom with two-strikes since the 2021 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .167 -- 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 43% (263 SO in 605 PAs) since the 2021 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 4-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Rangers' 1 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	4-3	0-1	4-2	1-1	3-2
Orioles	2-5	2-4	0-1	2-4	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	4-1-2	0-0-1	4-1-1	1-0-1	3-1-1
Orioles	4-3	3-3	1-0	3-3	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	4-3	0-1	4-2	1-1	3-2
Orioles	3-4	3-3	0-1	3-3	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	BAL	L 2-7	-	-	-
Apr 4th	BAL	L 0-2	-	-	-
Apr 2nd	PHI	W 2-1	-	-	-
Apr 1st	PHI	W 16-3	-	-	-
Mar 30th	PHI	W 11-7	-	-	-

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Jackson Holliday
2B
Holliday is out with hand
Out

Jacob deGrom
SP
Jacob deGrom scratched Saturday, Jacob Latz will start.
Out
Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out with elbow
Out
Cody Freeman
3B
Freeman is out with back
Out
Cody Bradford
RP
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	83	5	5	2
RA.Voth, P	33	1.1	3	3
LK.Akin, P	9	0.2	0	0
RB.Baker, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	0-3	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	0
5G.Henderson, 3B	0-4	0	0
6T.Vavra, DH	0-1	1	0
6R.Urias, PH	0-1	0	0
6R.Urias, DH	0-1	0	0
7A.Hays, LF	0-3	0	1
8A.Frazier, 2B	1-3	0	1
9J.Mateo, SS	0-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.deGrom, P	92	6	11	1
LW.Smith, P	16	1.1	2	0
RJ.Hernandez, P	13	0.2	1	0
RJ.Leclerc, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	0-4	1	0	0
3N.Lowe, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
4A.Garcia, CF	2-4	2	0	1
4A.Garcia, RF	2-4	2	0	1
5J.Jung, 3B	2-4	1	1	3
6R.Grossman, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Grossman, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Garver, DH	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Heim, C	0-3	0	0	0
9E.Duran, LF	1-3	1	0	0
9T.Jankowski, CF	0-0	0	0	0