Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2024

Orioles at Red Sox

11:10 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

3 - 5

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12
D.Kremer			4.10	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-2	+1.5-180	o9.5-110	+116
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+150	u9.5-113	-136

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

September 11, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -136

Over 9-114

.tsa wind out in certain ballparks Overall: 905-660-81,58% (ROI:12%) Season:44-39-3,53% (ROI:3%)

BOS -136

$551.47

Over 9-120

BAL +122

Over 9-120

1.8u

BOS -120 (F5)

BOS -124 (F5)

0.4u

Flat to -135

Featured Insight
The Orioles are batting .270 with RISP since last season -- tied for third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .281 (369-for-1,315) against Red Sox RPs with RISP since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .811 over the last week -- third best in MLB. Orioles RPs have allowed an OPS of .826 (89 PAs) over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Sep 11, 2024 UTC
+435 SGP for Orioles vs Red Sox
Sean Paul•
Sep 11, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are 19-22 (.463) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

Colton Cowser has struck out in 30% of PA's this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 29% this season -- tied for 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Gunnar Henderson is batting .300 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Nick Pivetta has thrown a breaking pitch 47% of the time since last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta allowed a batting average of .364 vs right-handed batters (second worst)-- second Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for seventh best among qualified SPs)-- 90th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .775 (293 Total Bases / 378 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .573 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	BAL	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BAL -138
Sep 9th	BAL	W 12-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS -125
Sep 8th	CWS	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	CWS -275
Sep 7th	CWS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -211
Sep 6th	CWS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -285

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	103	7	7	1
LC.Perez, P	14	0.2	0	0
RY.Cano, P	2	0.1	0	0
RS.Dominguez, P	17	1	2	0
LK.Akin, P	7	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2C.Mullins, CF	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Santander, DH	1-3	1	1	1
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	2-4	0	0	0
7A.Slater, RF	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Holliday, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, 3B	2-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	94	6	9	1
RC.Martin, P	18	1	1	0
RJ.Slaten, P	9	1	0	1
RK.Jansen, P	11	1	0	0
RG.Weissert, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	2	0	0
1J.Duran, LF	1-5	2	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3R.Gonzalez, PH	1-2	1	0	0
3R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
3R.Gonzalez, 1B	1-2	1	0	0
4T.O'Neill, LF	1-4	1	1	3
4T.O'Neill, RF	1-4	1	1	3
5M.Yoshida, DH	2-4	1	0	0
6C.Wong, C	0-3	0	0	0
6E.Valdez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6D.Jansen, C	0-0	0	0	0
7T.Casas, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7N.Sogard, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7N.Sogard, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
8T.Story, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	0	0	1