Padres vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 8, 2024

Padres at Cubs

6:20 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

4-3

3 - 0

Chicago Cubs

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Wesneski			3.86	3-6
D.Cease			3.47	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	-1.5+124	o7.5-105	-135
Cubs 0-0	+1.5-149	u7.5-115	+114

Wednesday 6:20 p.m.

May 08, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 7.5-115

0.87u

... good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 313-218-17,59% (ROI:13%) Season:13-10-1,57% (ROI:8%)

D.Cease u7.5 Ks-148

Ballpark pal projects 6.78 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -193 giving value to this number

Under 8.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -113

Featured Insight
Padres hitters have an OPS of .832 over the last week -- second best in MLB. Cubs RPs have allowed an OPS of .816 (105 PAs) over the last week -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Cubs have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 31% of their games this season -- tied for third lowest in MLB. The Padres have scored in at least three different innings in just 29% of their games this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Padres are just 5-16 (.238) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Nico Hoerner is slugging just .394 since the 2022 season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Dylan Cease has allowed a SLG of just .297 vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- second best among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has allowed an OPS of just .280 (86 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .667 -- 100th Percentile.

Hayden Wesneski has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 81% (34/42) of opposing batters this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 99th Percentile.

Hayden Wesneski has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 15.2 innings pitched -- Jhoan Duran has the longest active streak at 25.1.

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .212 (160 PAs) this season -- tied for second best among qualified SPs-- 99th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season -- third worst among qualified SPs-- sixth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	SD	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -175
May 6th	SD	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SD -115
May 5th	MIL	W 5-0	+1.5 W	U 6.5	CHC +120
May 4th	MIL	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CHC -135
May 3rd	MIL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	MIL -119

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RD.Cease, P	113	7	12
LW.Peralta, P	22	1	2
RR.Suarez, P	11	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	2-4	2	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-5	0	1
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	2-3	0	1
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	1
5J.Profar, LF	0-4	0	0
5J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0
6X.Bogaerts, 2B	0-4	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	0-3	0	0
8L.Campusano, C	1-4	1	0
9H.Kim, SS	1-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Wesneski, P	94	6	3	3
LR.Lovelady, P	16	0.2	2	0
RA.Alzolay, P	15	1.1	0	0
RK.Thompson, P	20	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2M.Tauchman, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2M.Tauchman, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	0-2	0	0	0
6M.Busch, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7N.Madrigal, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7N.Madrigal, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	1-3	0	0	0
9P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9P.Wisdom, RF	0-1	0	0	0