Brewers vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2024

Brewers at Cubs

6:20 pm • MARQ

Milwaukee Brewers

4-1

3 - 1

Chicago Cubs

2-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Wesneski			3.86	3-6
J.Ross			3.77	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 4-1	-1.5+170	o7.5-101	+100
Cubs 2-3	+1.5-202	u7.5-117	-119

Friday 6:20 p.m.

May 03, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 7.5-105

MIL +102

0.51u

MIL +104

1.04u

MIL +100 (F5)

W.Adames o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+115

W.Adames o0.5 HR+550

0.18u

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

$1.00

Under 7.5+100

… windy unders Overall: 915-660-82,58% (ROI:12%) Season:11-2-1,85% (ROI:57%)

MIL +109

1.64u

Brewers going to motherfuck me

Under 7.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -116

MIL +110

0.55u

SPs don't project that dissimilarly. CHC 128/93/62 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, MIL 123/124/121. MIL far better defense & 1/3 run better bullpen estimators L30days.

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The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

32% of Ian Happ strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 37% of Hoby Milner strikeouts are looking since last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Joe Ross has walked 7 of 45 batters (16%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- fifth Percentile.

Hayden Wesneski has allowed an OBP of just .179 (39 PA's) this season -- tied for 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .312 -- 98th Percentile.

Joe Ross has located his fastball up for a strike just 46% (58/127) of the time this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 60% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A
Brewers	4-1	4-1	N/A	4-1	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A
Brewers	3-2	3-2	N/A	3-2	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A
Brewers	4-1	4-1	N/A	4-1	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	@NYM	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 8	NYM -105
May 1st	@NYM	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC -121
Apr 30th	@NYM	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7	NYM +103
Apr 29th	@NYM	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7	CHC +122
Apr 28th	@BOS	L 4-5	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BOS +130

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out
Seiya Suzuki
RF
Suzuki is out with knee
Out

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Andrew Vaughn
1B
Vaughn is out with hand
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out
Steward Berroa
RF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ross, P	86	6	4	1
RE.Peguero, P	10	1	0	0
RJ.Payamps, P	10	1	0	0
RT.Megill, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Frelick, RF	0-3	0	0
1J.Chourio, PH	1-2	1	0
1J.Chourio, RF	1-2	1	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	1	1
3T.Black, 1B	0-3	0	0
3J.Wiemer, LF	0-0	0	0
3G.Sanchez, 1B	0-0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	1
5J.Bauers, LF	1-3	0	1
5J.Bauers, 1B	1-3	0	1
5J.Bauers, LF	1-3	0	1
6R.Hoskins, DH	0-4	0	0
7B.Turang, 2B	2-4	0	0
8O.Dunn, 3B	1-2	0	0
8J.Ortiz, PH	1-2	0	0
8J.Ortiz, 3B	1-2	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Wesneski, P	90	6.1	8	0
LR.Lovelady, P	15	1	1	0
RA.Alzolay, P	32	0.1	1	3
RC.Brewer, P	24	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2M.Tauchman, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
5M.Busch, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Mervis, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Amaya, C	1-3	0	0	0
9P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-3	0	0	0