Padres vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - June 3, 2025

Padres at Giants

1:45 am • SDPA

San Diego Padres

1-2

1 - 0

San Francisco Giants

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Webb			3.22	15-11
S.Kolek			1.91	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 1-2	+1.5	+1.5-146	o7.5+100	+150
Giants 0-0	u7	-1.5+125	u7.5-120	-180

Tuesday 1:45 a.m.

June 03, 2025

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

SD +146

2.92u

🔑 Padres ML +146 (FanDuel) 2u I know the Padres have greatly dissatisfied while the Giants have greatly over achieved. Both teams coming off a good win on Sunday but with 70% of the public on the Giants and the Pasdres the better team and better value, I love this spot. Padres have won L2 matchups vs the Giants. Webb has lost his last 2 matchups vs the padres with a 6.75 ERA and a 9 ERA in those starts. Riding SD here and the sharp money also on it

S.Kolek o17.5 Outs+114

0.75u

Under 7.5-115

L.Webb o19.5 Outs+101

1.01u

L. Webb ⬆️ 19.5 Outs (+101 @ ProphetX)(SFG) Playable to -120 on other books, but wouldn't go past that. Any projections system is likely to tell you to play the under here, but I think Webb really matchups up well against this Padres lineup. Firstly, Webb's splits between home and away are very strong. He's always pitched better (and longer) in pitcher-friendly Oracle Park. Let's start with this Padres offense. They rank 22nd in average vs RHP over L30. Why I like this matchup is bc Webb has the ability to get quick outs and plays to situations. He ranks in the 92nd percentile in ground ball rate, which allows him to pitch to contact with runners on. He can turn a few pitches into 2 outs quickly. SDP's lineup doesn't K much (28th vs RHP over L30), while holding just a league average walk rate over L30. This season, they are tied for the 6th fewest pitcher seen per plate appearance. I will almost never take an over on a line this high, but the difference between 18.5 and 19.5 isn't much. If Webb comes out for the 7th, there's a solid chance he'll finish the inning.

SF -0.5 (F5)-115

1.15u

SD +150

1.5u

Better team on road vs team returning home Overall: 296-268-0,52% (ROI:15%) Season:4-1-0,80% (ROI:86%)

SF -174 (F5)

0.5u

SF -125

1.25u

GIANTS TO NOT BAT BOTTOM 9

SF -180

1.8u

L.Arraez o1.5 Total Bases+105

L.Webb o5.5 Ks+134

1.34u

In the alt market on FanDuel. Even after factoring in the low-strikeout matchup, I have Webb projected at 5.98 strikeouts due to his length and increased striekout rate this year.

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MLB Public Betting

Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Giants' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	76-86	35-46	41-40	35-57	40-28
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	75-80-7	35-45-1	40-35-6	36-55-1	37-25-6
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	81-81	42-39	39-42	49-43	31-37
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 1st	@MIA	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8	SF -115
May 31st	@MIA	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -148
May 30th	@MIA	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	SF -166
May 28th	@DET	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	DET -104
May 27th	@DET	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	DET -118

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Kolek, P	98	5.2	3
LA.Morejon, P	17	1	2
RJ.Estrada, P	19	0.1	1
RJ.Adam, P	20	1	3
RR.Suarez, P	20	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-4	0	0
2L.Arraez, 1B	1-4	0	0
3M.Machado, DH	0-4	0	0
4J.Merrill, CF	1-4	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, SS	1-4	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-4	1	0
7T.Wade, LF	0-3	0	0
8J.Iglesias, 3B	1-3	0	1
9E.Diaz, C	0-1	0	0
9G.Sheets, PH	0-1	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RL.Webb, P	102	8	7
RR.Rodriguez, P	13	1	2
RR.Walker, P	7	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1H.Ramos, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Lee, CF	1-5	0	0	0
3W.Flores, DH	1-3	0	0	0
3C.Koss, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3C.Koss, DH	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Chapman, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
5M.Yastrzemski, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5J.Encarnacion, PH	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Encarnacion, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6W.Adames, SS	0-2	0	0	0
7L.Wade, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
7C.Schmitt, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8P.Bailey, C	1-3	0	0	0
9T.Fitzgerald, 2B	0-3	0	0	0