Padres vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 30, 2023

Padres at Reds

9:10 pm • BSOH

San Diego Padres

2-4

5 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Ashcraft			4.76	7-9
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 2-4	N/A	N/A	N/A
Reds 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 9:10 p.m.

June 30, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+110

$1.10

J.Soto o0.5 Hits-250

$1.00

SD -140

$1.00

J.Soto o1.5 Total Bases+105

0.53u

M.Machado o0.5 HR+360

0.1u

Under 11-110

1.1u

F.Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-140

$2.80

SD -134

Reds (12-16) as home dogs - @studyhallsharp Tail

Over 11-107

CIN +114

1.14u

SD -134

1.34u

Over 11-105

0.5u

SD o5.5-115

CIN +122

0.61u

Bet to +118

CIN +130

0.65u

SD has all the edges in this game except CIN 95/97 wRC+ Hm/v RHP, SDP 91/94). I do have them favored, but by a much smaller amount on the road.

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The Padres are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Padres are just 7-40 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Trent Grisham has an OPS of just .655 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .469 (396 PAs) since last season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Trent Grisham has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Alexis Diaz has a strikeout rate of 35% since last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has an average spin rate of 2777.1 RPM on sliders since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 2402.0 -- 99th Percentile.

Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)-- ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth best among qualified RPs)-- 91st Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has averaged 96.9 MPH on fastballs since last season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 -- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Reds' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	3-3	3-3	N/A	1-0	2-3
Padres	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-1	0-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	3-3	3-3	N/A	0-1	3-2
Padres	2-3-1	2-3-1	N/A	0-3-1	2-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	3-3	3-3	N/A	1-0	2-3
Padres	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-2	0-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	@BAL	W 11-7	-	-	-
Jun 27th	@BAL	W 3-1	-	-	-
Jun 26th	@BAL	L 3-10	-	-	-
Jun 25th	ATL	L 6-7	-	-	-
Jun 24th	ATL	L 6-7	-	-	-

Nick Lodolo
SP
Lodolo is out with finger
Out
Hunter Greene
SP
Greene is out with elbow
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with lower body
Out
Will Wagner
3B
Wagner is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	94	6	6	0
RB.Honeywell, P	19	0.1	0	1
RN.Martinez, P	14	1.2	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	20	1	3	0
LR.Kerr, P	14	1	0	1
RD. Carlton, P	14	0.2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-5	1	0	1
2J.Soto, LF	3-5	0	0	1
3M.Machado, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-5	2	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
6G.Sanchez, C	2-4	0	0	1
7M.Carpenter, DH	0-2	0	0	1
7N. Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7N. Cruz, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8R. Odor, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
8H.Kim, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8H.Kim, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	94	6.2	7	1
RL.Sims, P	19	1.1	2	0
RA.Diaz, P	13	1	0	1
RI.Gibaut, P	11	1	0	1
LA.Young, P	9	0.2	0	0
RD.Duarte, P	9	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2M.McLain, SS	1-5	1	1	2
3J.India, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
4E.De La Cruz, DH	2-5	1	0	1
4E.De La Cruz, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
5J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0	1
5K.Newman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5K.Newman, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5K.Newman, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Senzel, PH	0-2	1	0	0
6N.Senzel, RF	0-2	1	0	0
7S.Steer, 3B	2-3	1	1	2
7S.Steer, 1B	2-3	1	1	2
7S.Steer, LF	2-3	1	1	2
8T.Stephenson, C	2-4	2	1	1
9W.Benson, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, PH	0-1	0	0	0