Phillies vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Phillies at Braves

11:15 pm • FOX

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

1 - 5

Atlanta Braves

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7
R.Suarez			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+164	o8-115	+105
Braves 0-0	+1.5-198	u8-105	-125

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

July 06, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

A.Bohm o1.5 Total Bases-110

PHI -104

PHI -105

2.1u

R.Suarez o4.5 Ks-130

0.77u

ATL -111

ATL -104

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -106

R.Suarez u2.5 Earned Runs+100

Featured Insight
Phillies RPs have a strikeout rate of 37% over the last week -- highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 28% over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 61% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- third best in MLB. Phillies have won just 41% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Our MLB Best Bets for Saturday Night
Action Network Staff•
Jul 6, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are 36-3 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Phillies are 235-176 (.572) since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 61-41 (.598) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .495.

Orlando Arcia has an OPS of just .581 this season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .590 (406 PAs) this season -- eighth best among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

Matt Olson has 21 home runs on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- fifth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Ranger Suarez has located his fastball inside 43% of the time since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .194 (27-for-139) against Ranger Suarez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 -- 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (58/95) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27
Phillies	81-81	41-40	40-41	62-67	19-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4
Phillies	70-81-11	41-37-3	29-44-8	57-61-11	13-20

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35
Phillies	96-66	55-26	41-40	80-49	16-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	PHI	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI -142
Jul 4th	SF	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SF -130
Jul 3rd	SF	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -209
Jul 2nd	SF	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8	SF -198
Jun 30th	PIT	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -198

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	91	5	7	5
RJ.Ruiz, P	6	1	0	0
LG.Soto, P	20	1	2	0
RS.Dominguez, P	16	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	1
3A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0
4B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	0
5N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0
6K.Clemens, 1B	1-4	0	0
7R.Marchan, C	1-4	0	0
8D.Dahl, DH	0-2	0	0
8W.Merrifield, PH	0-1	0	0
8W.Merrifield, DH	0-1	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Schwellenbach, P	81	6	6	1
LA.Minter, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	16	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	2-4	2	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	2	1	3
3A.Riley, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	1	1	2
6S.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Duvall, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9E.White, LF	0-3	0	0	0