Phillies vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 1, 2023

Phillies at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

3 - 1

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Alcantara			4.14	7-12
R.Suarez			4.18	4-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-196	o7.5-118	+114
Marlins 0-0	-1.5+160	u7.5-104	-137

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

August 01, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA -130

0.45u

MIA -135 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -136

MIA -130

1.3u

S.Alcantara u6.5 Ks-145

Under in 15/21 on the season, and PHI has hit him well historically - only 9 Ks in 10.2 IP in two starts vs them this season (under this line in each) - and Schwarber, Castellanos, Harper, Turner, Bohm and JTR each have a batting average of .280+ vs Sandy in 20+ PAs. Under in 4/5 vs PHI last season as well.

MIA -130

1.3u

Over 7.5-108

1.08u

MIA -130

0.65u

Need -130

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The Phillies are just 24-41 (.369) after a road loss since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

Nick Castellanos is slugging just .204 over the last two weeks -- 13th worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Sandy Alcantara has allowed a SLG of just .250 vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 86th Percentile.

31% of Bryson Stott strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 49% of Sandy Alcantara's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 61% (1,936/3,178) against right-handed batters since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (146/237) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 31st	PHI	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	PHI -116
Jul 30th	DET	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 7	MIA -159
Jul 29th	DET	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -158
Jul 28th	DET	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIA -161
Jul 26th	@TB	W 7-1	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIA +147

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	81	6.1	3	1
RY.Marte, P	14	0.2	0	0
LG.Soto, P	13	1	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-2	0	0	0
1J.Cave, PR	0-0	1	0	0
1J.Cave, DH	0-0	1	0	0
2A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	1	2
5B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Marsh, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P		101	8	5	0
RD.Robertson, P		24	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-5	1	0
2J.Soler, DH	1-4	0	0
3B.De La Cruz, LF	2-4	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	2-4	0	1
5J.Sanchez, CF	1-3	0	0
5G.Hampson, CF	0-0	0	0
6J.Berti, 3B	1-4	0	0
7Y.Gurriel, 1B	2-3	0	0
8J.Wendle, SS	0-4	0	0
9J.Stallings, C	0-3	0	0